Netflix: A Measured Assessment of Q4 and Outlook

Management’s guidance for 14% revenue growth and $6 billion in free cash flow for 2026 appears to have precipitated the downturn. The market, it seems, assigns a premium to exponential growth, and a deceleration, even from a high base, is often penalized. This is not necessarily irrational; consistent, predictable growth is a cornerstone of sound financial modeling. The present valuation, however, suggests a degree of optimism regarding future performance that may not be fully supported by current projections.








