Novo Nordisk: A Slow Decline

The numbers, as they often do, tell a story. Novo Nordisk, a name once whispered with a certain… expectation, has yielded ground. Twenty percent this week, the reports say. But percentages feel… insufficient. They lack the weight of what’s truly happening. A slow, almost imperceptible fading. Seventy-five percent from its peak, if one bothers to calculate. A considerable distance to fall, isn’t it?

They chase efficacy, these companies. A slightly superior percentage point of weight lost. As if the human body, with all its stubbornness and quiet rebellions, could be reduced to a simple equation. The trial, comparing CagriSema to Eli Lilly’s Zepbound, yielded a result. Not a catastrophe, not precisely. Just… a difference. A slight leaning in favor of the competitor. Enough, apparently, to shift the currents.

Loading widget...

A Matter of Degrees

Eli Lilly flourishes, of course. A hundred and thirty-five percent revenue growth over three years. A robust figure. Novo Nordisk, seventy-seven percent. Respectable, certainly. But the trajectory… it’s flattening. Like a landscape viewed from a departing train. One wonders if the ambition of the company keeps pace with the reality of the market. It rarely does, does it?

And now, price cuts. Anticipated, no doubt. The government, the customers… they always have their expectations. Fifty percent, they say. A substantial concession. A necessary one, perhaps. But it feels… resigned. As if the company is acknowledging a shifting power dynamic. A quiet acceptance of limits. One imagines the board meetings. The polite arguments. The unspoken anxieties.

The Weight of Things

The price-to-earnings ratio nears ten. A seemingly attractive number. But the market, that capricious creature, sees more than numbers. It sees the erosion of dominance. The threat of competition. The inevitable compromises. A low P/E can be a signal, of course. But it can also be a premonition. A quiet acknowledgement of what’s been lost.

To buy now, one would have to believe in a resurgence. A leapfrogging of Eli Lilly. A rediscovery of some forgotten advantage. It’s not impossible, naturally. But improbable. And in the end, isn’t that the essence of the market? A relentless sorting of probabilities. A quiet dismissal of hope. Perhaps it’s best to simply observe. To watch the slow decline. To recognize the inevitable. The weight of things, after all, is considerable.

Read More

2026-02-26 23:43