The year has passed, and Intel, like an aging actor, has managed a respectable performance. A rise of eighty-four percent is not to be dismissed, though one wonders if such exuberance is sustainable. The current quarter shows a modest gain, a mere twenty-two percent, followed by a predictable dip. The market, it seems, is a fickle audience, quick to reward and even quicker to forget.
There is talk, of course, of one hundred dollars a share. A pleasing round number. A target. But targets, as anyone who has spent time observing the currents of capital will tell you, are often mirages. The question is not whether the stock can reach such heights, but whether the energy expended in pursuit is not better directed elsewhere. One recalls a distant uncle who spent his final years chasing a phantom fortune in tulips.
A Matter of Supply and Shadows
The company speaks of supply constraints, a familiar refrain in these times. Apparently, the demand for their chips exceeds their ability to deliver. One suspects a certain amount of carefully managed expectation at play. It is always easier to blame external factors than to acknowledge internal inefficiencies. The CEO remarks on the limitations, a polite euphemism for missed opportunities. It is a delicate dance, this art of corporate communication.
They anticipate improvement, naturally. Yields are rising, they say. The numbers, when examined closely, tell a more nuanced story. But hope, even when thinly veiled in statistics, is a powerful motivator. And in the absence of concrete evidence, it is often enough to sustain belief. One observes this phenomenon frequently in the smaller, more provincial exchanges.
There is a burgeoning interest in artificial intelligence, a niche where Intel sees potential. A fifty percent increase in revenue is encouraging, though it represents a small fraction of the overall picture. It is a promising development, certainly, but one must avoid the temptation to extrapolate too aggressively. The future, as always, remains stubbornly uncertain.
The Illusion of Ascent
Forty-six dollars a share. A modest valuation, perhaps. The path to one hundred dollars requires a doubling of that figure. A considerable undertaking. The analysts predict a fifteen percent increase in earnings. A respectable projection, though hardly a guarantee of success. The market, one must remember, is not governed by logic, but by sentiment.
One could construct a scenario, of course. Earnings of one dollar and forty cents per share by 2028, a multiple of fifty times earnings… seventy dollars a share. A plausible outcome, perhaps. But such calculations are built on assumptions, and assumptions, as any seasoned observer of the market will attest, are often the first casualties of reality. The currents shift, the winds change, and the carefully constructed edifice of expectation crumbles.
One hundred dollars may not arrive. It is not a matter of great consequence. The market will continue its restless dance, the stock will fluctuate, and life, as it always does, will proceed with its quiet, unassuming inevitability. There are, after all, other companies, other opportunities, and other illusions to pursue.
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2026-02-28 01:52