AI Stock Bargain: Marvell’s Missteps and My Midnight Oil

It’s not like I asked for this. I just wanted to buy a stock that wouldn’t make me want to scream into a pillowcase at 2 a.m. But here we are, staring down the barrel of another AI stock frenzy, where everyone’s a prophet and no one remembers the last time they got burned. The market’s so hot right now, I’d be surprised if the NASDAQ started sweating. But while others are chasing the next big thing, I’m over here picking through the charred remains of Marvell Technology (MRVL), which seems to be the financial equivalent of a half-eaten sandwich left on a park bench.

Don’t get me wrong-it’s not that Marvell is a disaster. It’s just… annoying. Like that guy at the coffee shop who insists on ordering oat milk, almond milk, and soy milk in the same cup. The company’s data center revenue hit $1.49 billion in Q2 2026, up 69% year-over-year. That’s not nothing. But when management said Q3 revenue would be “flat,” Wall Street threw a hissy fit like someone spilled decaf on their latte. Why? Because people hate surprises, especially when they’re not the ones making the coffee.

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Let’s not pretend we’re shocked. Marvell’s custom semiconductors are the kind of thing that make hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft say “uh-huh” and then walk away. But here’s the kicker: The company’s total addressable market is $94 billion. For context, their 2025 revenue was $5.8 billion. That’s like showing up to a buffet with a thimble and then complaining it’s not full. And yet, the stock’s trading at 23.4 times operating cash flow-cheaper than my cousin’s dating advice. Why? Because people are obsessed with quarterly earnings like they’re the final episode of a show they’ve never watched.

Look, I’m not saying Marvell is a sure thing. I’m saying it’s a nuisance with potential. Like that neighbor who always plays the same song on their lawn mower. You hate it, but you also kind of hum along. The custom business? It’s “substantially stronger” in Q4, according to management. That’s corporate speak for “we hope you don’t remember this.” But if you’re a trader with a long enough leash, this is the kind of mess that feels like a bargain. Just don’t expect a thank-you note. 🤡

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2025-09-09 18:03