There is something peculiar about the way markets punish or reward companies, often without regard for their actual merits. Today, shares of Oklo (OKLO), a small modular reactor start-up, slipped by 4% as of 12:25 p.m. ET on Friday. The drop was not due to any misstep by Oklo but rather a ripple effect from an announcement by Fluor (FLR), a giant in nuclear engineering.
The truth is that Fluor’s actions have cast a shadow over Oklo’s prospects, and investors, ever alert to omens, are beginning to question whether they should follow suit.
A Calculated Retreat
This morning, Fluor disclosed its plan to reduce volatility in its earnings. For some time now, its results have been distorted by pre-tax mark-to-market gains tied to its holdings in NuScale Power (SMR). To address this, Fluor will convert 15 million Class B NuScale shares into Class A shares, which it can then sell. This move serves two purposes: it stabilizes Fluor’s financial reporting and allows it to lock in profits from its NuScale stake.
In essence, Fluor is taking a pragmatic step. By divesting part of its NuScale holdings, it seeks to secure cash while reducing exposure to the unpredictable swings of a speculative asset. It is a sensible decision, perhaps even a necessary one, given the fragility of such high-stakes investments.
Should You Sell Oklo?
But why does this matter for Oklo? The answer lies not in what Oklo has done but in what Fluor’s actions imply. Investors are watching Fluor retreat from its stake in NuScale, and they are wondering if it signals a broader skepticism about the sector. Could Fluor’s decision be read as a quiet vote of no confidence in the future profitability of these ventures?
Consider the numbers. NuScale’s stock has surged by 485% over the past year, an extraordinary rise. Yet Oklo’s ascent has been even more dramatic, with an 835% gain in the same period. Both companies remain unprofitable, and neither is expected to generate meaningful earnings anytime soon. These valuations rest not on tangible achievements but on promises—promises that may never materialize.
It is worth asking whether Fluor’s move is a signal to reassess. If selling NuScale stock is prudent for Fluor, might it also be wise for individual investors to reconsider their position in Oklo? The parallels are hard to ignore, and the market’s reaction suggests that many are already drawing conclusions.
In the end, investing is as much about psychology as it is about numbers. Fear spreads quickly in uncertain times, and Fluor’s decision has introduced a note of caution where there was once only optimism. Perhaps that is the most unsettling truth of all: that markets, like people, are driven as much by emotion as by reason. 🌑
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2025-08-01 20:22