Oh, dear readers! The marketplace has been as fickle as a young lady’s affections this past week, with Bitcoin‘s fortunes oscillating most unpredictably. Can you believe it surged from the respectable sum of $111,000 on the 21st of August to a stratospheric high of over $117,000 just two days hence, only to decline again to a meager $111,360 by the time of this discourse? Such fluctuations must surely inspire more than a faint blush!
In a most riveting turn of events, an intriguing metric from CryptoQuant doth suggest that the gentry of investors are now inclined to clutch their Bitcoin tightly, as one might cling to a favourite novel, rather than sell it off like yesterday’s crumpets. This sentiment, perhaps, sets the stage for an auspicious ascent in value.
The Supply Tightens, Oh My! 📉
Lo and behold! The 30-day moving average of Bitcoin exchange inflows hath plummeted to its lowest point since May of the year 2023. CryptoQuant posits that historically low inflows are akin to the shrinking dance floor at a ball-indicating a reluctance to relinquish one’s prized Bitcoin, and in so doing, suggesting a most delightful tightening of supply.
Across every exchange, this 30-day moving average has seen a sharp decline, even whilst Bitcoin’s price dallies modestly upwards, hinting at a constricted supply environment which may foster considerable strength. It appears our American cousins, particularly the esteemed institutional investors, are quite reluctant to part with their coins, evidenced by a notable drop in inflows at Coinbase.
Similarly, Binance too sits in the same boat, as its historically low inflows lend credence to a broader restraint across the global stage of trading. As inflows diminish on several platforms, the atmosphere appears rather congenial for a possible price ascent. Candidly, one might conjecture that Bitcoin is edging towards a phase of scarcity that may curtail selling and bolster bullish enthusiasm in the midterm.
This reduction in selling pressure could usher in what may very well be the final flourish of Bitcoin’s current bull market, as it were!
A Grand Finale in Q4? 🤔🎉
According to the astute predictions of the crypto oracle, Cryptobirb, Bitcoin might just be approaching the concluding chapter of its most illustrious bull run. The grand cryptocurrency achieved an exalted peak above $124,000 earlier this month but now shows signs of waning vitality. Cryptobirb, in their infinite wisdom, suggests that this cycle is now 93% complete, with an expected zenith likely to occur betwixt late October and mid-November of the year 2025.
This forecast is based on the chronicles of historical bull run durations, cycles of halving, and the seasonal gambols of this volatile market-pointing rather enticingly towards an impending climax within the next 60 days. Historical cycles have reached their zenith between 366 to 548 days post-halving event, and with the latest halving in April 2024, the anticipated window for exuberance appears to be between October 19 and November 20.
Moreover, one finds that the technical indicators remain fortuitously supportive, as Bitcoin trades in opulence above key moving averages, while on-chain data offers no hint of miner capitulation, which is a phrase that sounds quite grand indeed. However, our ever-cautious Cryptobirb forewarns that past cycles have been followed by lengthy bear markets with steep declines of up to 66%. For now, the analyst contemplates that Bitcoin may indeed be on the threshold of its “grand finale” in Q4 of 2025.
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2025-08-27 21:55