In a move that would make even Lady Circumstance blush, the ceremonial handshake between America and Saudi Arabia—replete with tariffs tossed aside like last season’s hats—has whisked the markets into a froth of optimism. Bulls, those irrepressible creatures, are once again stampeding through Wall Street, dragging equities upward and spinning crypto into fevered ecstasy. Frankly, one half expects someone to light a cigar and toast to the death of prudence.
Wall Street Dusts Off Its Finery
The S&P 500, previously sulking with a downcast 17% at April’s nadir, is—shockingly—no longer a figure of pity. Now, having wiped the slate clean, it sits precisely where it began, like an overindulged nephew returning with all the family silver after a weekend in Monte Carlo. The crowd is evidently ready for risk again; the “Art of the Deal” has gone from dog-eared paperback to bedside classic, and investor bravado is very much in vogue.
Inflation: Not as Naughty as Feared
Elsewhere in the theatre of farce, the US CPI tiptoed in below expectations, sending inflation-phobes reaching for their smelling salts in relief. Surely this is reason enough for rate cuts, though the Federal Reserve—in the manner of an overcautious chaperone—refuses to be seduced. The governors repeated, with all the verve of a Latin declension, that they remain thoroughly data-dependent; never mind the markets pirouetting in anticipation. Four rate cuts for 2025 were on the card—like party invitations, now slashed to two, and not before September. Early bets on a July move have vanished like canapés at an embassy reception.
Crypto: Life of the Party 🥳
The prize for most spirited (and possibly unhinged) goes once again to crypto. Bitcoin (BTC) is flirting outrageously with its all-time highs, and Ethereum (ETH) is giving chase. The sector’s new spectacle is Coinbase preparing its debutante entrance into the S&P 500 on May 19. If past soirees are any guide, this is precisely the sort of inclusion that sends passive funds into a comical scramble, rebalancing portfolios as though the world depended on it.
Outlook: Bring the Sun Cream
QCP’s opinion—delivered with the discreet confidence of a head waiter—is that the rally could go on, provided the macro ambiance remains civil. Expect both traditional and digital assets to attempt a few more lively jigs as the curtain lifts on summer. If boredom overtakes, well, there’s always the next crisis to look forward to.🍸
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2025-05-14 21:20