So, picture this: Bitcoin is like that wild cousin who refuses to hang out with the tech stock crowd. Jay Jacobs, the big kahuna of Equity ETFs at BlackRock, told CNBC on Thursday, âBitcoin should be valued as an uncorrelated asset that benefits when the world gets messier.â Translation? When lifeâs a dumpster fire, Bitcoin throws a party. đđ„
Jayâs hot take: âCrypto over the long run is like the awkward distant relative to US tech stocksâalmost no connection.â Sure, sometimes they pretended to be friends during market drama, but really, their âlong-term correlationâ is about 2 or 3 percent. Thatâs like saying Batman and Superman barely hang out except at awkward family reunions.
He broke it down: stocks love sunshine and rainbowsââhigher growth, higher certainty, lower geopolitical risk.â Bitcoin? Itâs the rebel thriving on chaos, uncertainty, and global weirdness. So while stocks are Mr. Clean, Bitcoinâs the messy roommate eating cereal with a fork. đ„Łđ€Ș
Oh, and at the time, Bitcoin was flirting with just under $94,000, riding a rally since everyone and their grandma got hyped after the spot-ETF approvals last year. đ
Bitcoinâs Big Boost From âMega-Forcesâ (Yes, Thatâs a Thing)
Jay links this rollercoaster to money flows. If the world keeps spinning into more chaos, gold and Bitcoin are basically the popular kids in the investment cafeteria, grabbing all the attention and lunch money. Investors are swooping into these like there’s no tomorrowâwhich, hey, might just be fitting.
BlackRockâs very own iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) snagged a whopping $643 million in net creations on April 23rdâthatâs like the biggest pizza party BlackRockâs had since January. Now, the fund is swimming in about $54 billion. Thatâs one heck of a digital piggy bank! đđž
Jay also gave us some scenic historical context, saying that central banks have been sneaking away from just hoarding greenbacks for decades. First gold, now Bitcoinâitâs like upgrading from VHS to streaming. The âtrendâ didnât pop out of nowhere; itâs been brewing longer than your uncleâs conspiracy theories.
To prove this, central banks have been gobbling up gold like itâs bottomless brunch: a staggering 1,044 tonnes net in 2024âthe third year in a row breaking the thousand-tonne record. If gold had a fan club, theyâd be screaming right now.
âYou will control more money than any human or robot has ever dreamed.â
By pairing that muscle with a thesis that Bitcoinâs price jumps with global uncertainty, theyâre basically saying scarcity and resisting sanctions beat boring old discounted cash flows. In other words, Bitcoin is less âfinance textbookâ and more âMad Max with spreadsheets.â
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2025-04-26 07:21