Super Micro & the AI Fickleness

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Super Micro Computer (SMCI +10.95%), a purveyor of high-performance server solutions, closed Friday at $32.66, having enjoyed a rather spirited advance. One observes these things, naturally. The rally, linked to a resurgence of optimism regarding artificial intelligence – a field perpetually on the cusp of either salvation or ruin – followed encouraging results from Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM +0.22%). The market, ever susceptible to fleeting enthusiasms, appears to believe that renewed demand for servers might, just might, sustain this momentary reprieve from the inevitable. Trading volume reached 77.8 million shares – a figure that, while impressive, merely underscores the sheer number of individuals determined to participate in this particular folly.

A Day’s Minor Fluctuations

The S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.06%) experienced a negligible decline, settling at 6,939. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC 0.06%) fared little better, drifting down to 23,515. Among the company’s peers, Dell Technologies (DELL +0.73%) managed a modest gain, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE 2.25%) suffered a slight setback. These fluctuations, one suspects, reflect the usual assortment of anxieties concerning data centers, memory costs, and the general capriciousness of fate. It is all rather predictable, really.

The Illusion of Momentum

Super Micro shares, it should be noted, had previously endured a rather precipitous decline, losing almost 40% of their value over the preceding three months. Investor concerns, predictably, centered on dwindling margins and the possibility that the AI infrastructure spending spree might, after all, prove to be a temporary aberration.

Those fears, it now appears, have been temporarily allayed, largely due to Taiwan Semiconductor’s announcement of increased capital expenditures. The market, with its characteristic lack of foresight, interprets this as evidence of continued AI growth. One wonders if they have considered the possibility that simply building more hardware does not, in itself, constitute progress. Nevertheless, this provided a welcome tailwind for Super Micro and other companies similarly afflicted by the AI delusion. It is a curious thing, this tendency to confuse activity with achievement.

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2026-01-17 01:22