In a display of gravitas that could put a funeral director to shame, the Fed chair has warned us that inflation might just do a double backflip while our economic growth takes a nosedive. Brace yourselves for the impending tariff tempest!
Powell Unleashes the Warning: Tariffs on the Rampage Could Spiral Inflation! 🎢
Federal Reserve Chair, the ever-dignified Jerome Powell, delivered a speech that would make even the most stoic of accountants clutch their pearls, all while addressing the Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing conference in Arlington, Virginia, on the fourth day of April. Mark it well, dear reader, it may be a pivotal moment in financial theatre!
With the gravity of a man who has just discovered his favourite biscuit has been discontinued, Powell highlighted the burgeoning strain on our economy thanks to the merry-go-round of trade policies. He hinted that the Federal Reserve is fully aware of the inflationary tempest brewing just off the coast:
Looking ahead, higher tariffs will be working their way through our economy and are likely to raise inflation in coming quarters.
Not one to mince words (why would he when he can use a whole loaf?), Powell noted that both survey- and market-based measures of near-term inflation expectations are climbing faster than a cat up a tree. Although he mentioned that the U.S. economy has shown remarkable resilience—like a rubber band that refuses to snap!—the outlook for inflation is looking about as cheerful as a rain-soaked picnic.
While uncertainty remains elevated, it is now becoming clear that the tariff increases will be significantly larger than expected. The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth. The size and duration of these effects remain uncertain.
As the Fed careens through this economic obstacle course like an elephant on roller skates, Powell’s remarks can’t help but remind one of a riddle wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma. The elevated inflation dilemmas and the prospect of weaker economic performance are ramping up like a well-timed joke at a comedy club, especially thanks to those cheeky new federal policy changes in trade.
When pressed on how the central bank might respond, Powell—our very own oracle in a suit—cautioned that the inflationary repercussions of tariffs could linger longer than your aunt’s overstay at your holiday dinner:
While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent.
He elaborated that whether we can dodge this economic bullet relies heavily on keeping longer-term inflation expectations securely glued down, the potency of the effects, and how long they take to bubble up into prices. Although the Federal Reserve isn’t quite ready to adjust its policy—because why rush when one can dawdle?—they’re on high alert, keen as mustard to act once they grasp the full impact of those pesky tariffs.
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2025-04-04 20:00