Alright, settle in, folks. We’re talking quantum computing, which, let’s be honest, sounds like something out of a particularly ambitious episode of Star Trek. Rigetti Computing (RGTI +7.34%), they’re one of the players, and their stock has been… shall we say, experiencing a bit of turbulence. Down 27% year-to-date, as of February 13th. A dramatic fall, even for a company whose business model relies on things being, well, unpredictable.
So, you’ve got five hundred bucks burning a hole in your pocket? You’re thinking Rigetti? Hold your horses! Before you go all-in on something that makes a Rubik’s Cube look simple, let’s have a little chat. Is this a chance to buy the dip, or are we watching a beautiful, expensive balloon deflate?
I’m leaning towards the deflation, believe me. These pure-play quantum companies – Rigetti, IonQ, D-Wave, even plain old Quantum Computing (yes, that’s a company name!) – they had a moment last year. A glorious, speculative moment. But right now? They’re mostly generating headlines, not revenue. Rigetti, bless their hearts, only managed $1.9 million in sales last quarter. That’s less than I spent on bagels last year! And a company valued at $5 billion? Oy vey.
Look, they’re years away – years – from building a quantum computer you could actually, you know, use. It’s like betting on a horse that hasn’t been born yet. A very, very expensive horse.
Now, Rigetti does have a speed advantage. Their systems are blisteringly fast – 50 nanoseconds! That’s… fast. Faster than my mother-in-law can complain about the price of tomatoes. It means they can do more calculations in a given time. Which is good, I suppose, if you have something to calculate.
But speed isn’t everything. It’s like having a Ferrari with square wheels. It looks impressive, but it’s not getting you anywhere smoothly. Rigetti’s 108-qubit system has 99% accuracy. Almost there! But for quantum computers to be truly useful, we’re talking 99.99% accuracy. IonQ has achieved that. Rigetti? Not so much. They got to 99.7% on a smaller system. That last .2%? That’s the difference between a breakthrough and a very expensive paperweight.
Rigetti’s management is promising a 1,000-qubit system with 99.9% accuracy in three to five years. Three to five years! That’s an eternity in the tech world. I’ve seen hairstyles come and go faster than that. And frankly, I’m skeptical. They’re building castles in the cloud, and I’m not sure the foundation is solid.
Listen, there are plenty of perfectly good tech stocks out there that actually make money today. Companies that aren’t relying on the theoretical potential of subatomic particles. You want to risk five hundred bucks on a quantum dream? Be my guest. But I’d suggest looking at something a little more… grounded. Something with a profit margin. Something that doesn’t require a PhD in astrophysics to understand. Just a thought. Now, if you’ll excuse me, I need to go find a good bagel.
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2026-02-17 10:53