Predator: Badlands Could Lose Disney Over $60 Million — The Franchise May Return to Streaming

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The movie Predator: Badlands isn’t performing well in theaters, and Disney is currently projected to lose $60 million or more on it.

After 13 days as of Wednesday, the movie has earned:

  • Domestic: $69,223,314
  • International: $70,193,224
  • Worldwide: $139,416,538

The movie’s performance is getting worse, not better. After a disappointing second weekend with only $13 million in sales—a huge 67.5% decrease—it seems the film has already lost most of its viewers.

Considering its $105 million production budget, the movie Badlands needs to earn $262.5 million globally simply to cover its costs and avoid financial losses. This calculation uses a standard industry rule of thumb: a film typically needs to earn 2.5 times its budget to break even.

It won’t even come close.

The Best-Case Scenario Still Looks Bad

Even if Predator: Badlands surprisingly does well, it’s still likely to fail because current trends suggest it won’t succeed.

If the movie does really well and earns $100 million within the US and Canada, that would increase its current earnings by about $30 million, bringing the total to:

  • Domestic: ~$100M
  • Worldwide: ~170M (current) + 30M = ~$200M

Even with an additional $30 million from international markets, the film is projected to earn around $200 million worldwide, which is significantly less than the $262.5 million needed to cover its costs.

That’s at least a $60M loss, realistically more once marketing is included.

Disney will not be happy with that math.

Badlands Is Now a Franchise Risk

The film’s poor performance could unfortunately mean we won’t see any more Predator movies released in theaters for a long time.

Disney released Prey directly on streaming, and they were hoping Badlands would also perform well on the platform.

I’m a little worried because if Badlands doesn’t do well – if it loses the studio a lot of money – they might decide that releasing Predator directly to streaming is the safer bet. It would be a shame, but they could decide theatrical releases are just too risky after that.

Disney has been revitalizing older properties like Home Alone, Hocus Pocus, and Prey. They’ve also been reducing the amount of new content they’re making for major franchises like Marvel and Star Wars.

The Future of Predator Is Suddenly Uncertain

What was once sold as a fresh direction for the franchise has quickly become a financial liability.

Now that Badlands is expected to lose a lot of money and isn’t showing any improvement, it might be remembered as another instance of Disney approving a very expensive film that people just weren’t interested in seeing.

If ticket sales don’t significantly improve worldwide, Predator: Badlands is expected to lose over $60 million. This could mean future Predator movies will only be available on streaming services, rather than in theaters.

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2025-11-21 21:02