Seeking Yield in Uncertain Times

When an asset’s price is driven more by hope and fear than by underlying value, it ceases to be a reliable store of wealth. It becomes a gamble, and a dangerous one at that. For those who prioritize preservation of capital, the pursuit of fleeting gains in precious metals is, at best, a distraction, and at worst, a path to ruin.

QQQ: A Mildly Anxious Investor’s Guide

Man looking at charts

The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ +0.09%) – yes, the one that sounds like a malfunctioning printer – has done rather well for itself, hasn’t it? Up 84% in five years. Which, if you do the math (and I rarely do, preferring to outsource even the simplest calculations to Siri), works out to about 13% annually. Not bad. The S&P 500 chugs along at a respectable 10%, but it doesn’t have that vaguely unsettling ticker symbol. It feels…sturdier. Like a sensible pair of shoes. The QQQ feels like roller skates. Potentially exhilarating, but with a high probability of face-planting.

Dividend Fever Dream: 2026 & The Great Income Shift

The S&P 500? Barely twitching. Those “Magnificent Seven” – more like the “Magnificently Overvalued Seven” – are starting to look… tired. Down 3%? That’s a bloodbath in this game. Meanwhile, while the sharks circle the carcass of hype, something… solid… is happening. Dividend stocks are quietly, almost apologetically, rising. It’s unsettling. It’s… beautiful.

Tilray: A Budding Disaster?

The problem isn’t that Tilray isn’t trying. They talk a good game about international markets, but honestly, it feels a bit like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. The entire investment thesis seems to hinge on the U.S. finally deciding to join the party and legalize marijuana. It’s a lot of potential energy, sure, but potential energy doesn’t pay the bills. It’s like waiting for a friend who’s always running late – eventually, you just order your own appetizers.

Dividends & Delusions

A hopeful investor, bless them.

UPS, that tireless engine of consumerism, currently distributes a dividend yielding 5.6 percent. Five times the pittance offered by the broader market, a fact which, one suspects, is less a triumph of fiscal prudence than a reflection of general market apathy. The share price, one notes with mild approval, has enjoyed a recent uptick—a mere 19 percent thus far in 2026—presumably due to the insatiable demands of online shoppers. The company’s fourth-quarter pronouncements, predictably, exceeded expectations, with adjusted earnings of $2.38 per share. A triumph, naturally, trumpeted from every rooftop. Revenue guidance for 2026, at $89.7 billion, also exceeded the prognostications of the so-called analysts. The stock, predictably, rallied. One anticipates a further, temporary, elevation.

Palantir: A Valuation Puzzle

It’s a curious thing, isn’t it? We’re all told to invest for the long term, to focus on fundamentals, but sometimes the market seems to operate on a different set of rules altogether. It’s a bit like trying to predict the weather – you can have all the data in the world, but a rogue gust of wind can still ruin your picnic.

SoFi: A Quiet Disappointment

They speak of an “expanding ecosystem.” A clever phrase. It conjures images of vibrant growth, of interconnected prosperity. The numbers, of course, support this narrative. Revenue up 40% in the last quarter, reaching a billion dollars. Thirteen and a half million members. One wonders, though, if mere quantity equates to quality. Are these members truly engaged, or simply drifting within the system, drawn by fleeting promotions and the illusion of progress?

Micron’s Tuesday: A Slow Descent

Yesterday, the folks at TD Cowen declared a $600 price target, predicting Micron would ride a wave of DRAM riches to a glorious $60 a share. They seemed so… confident. It reminded me of the time I tried to assemble a bookcase from IKEA, armed only with a butter knife and a can-do attitude. Today, it was Deutsche Bank’s turn to issue a glowing recommendation, only to watch investors politely ignore it. You start to wonder if these analysts are secretly running a contest to see who can be the most spectacularly wrong.

MercadoLibre: A Calculated Retreat

MercadoLibre Illustration

The firm’s recent filing reveals a shedding of approximately $135 million worth of MercadoLibre shares. A considerable sum, certainly, yet one should remember that consistency is the last refuge of the unimaginative. Blair has been incrementally diminishing its stake for some time, a leisurely retreat that suggests a strategic repositioning rather than a panicked flight. One suspects the market often mistakes deliberation for indecision, a charmingly vulgar error.