
Bolton’s new price target—a mathematically precise $18, for those who like their optimism double-spaced—suggests that anyone with a share of Rigetti can now imagine themselves precisely 15% wealthier (on paper, which, as everyone in finance knows, is merely the waiting room for disappointment). The justification: the quantum computing sector is apparently gathering momentum (a word beloved of physicists and salesmen, as it means everything and absolutely nothing, depending on who is listening).
Bolton draws particular inspiration from two recent government adventures: DARPA’s Quantum Benchmark Initiative (QBI) and the Department of Energy Quantum Leadership Act. The former—QBI—resides within DARPA, an agency the U.S. government constructed in a fit of existential dread after Sputnik, to make certain that Americans are never caught by surprise by anything more significant than the bill at a Manhattan cocktail bar. QBI’s mission, if it chooses to accept it (it has), is to ponder whether a quantum computer could one day deliver more “computational value” than it costs to build and operate—all by the grand year 2033. (For those keeping score, this is currently in “Stage A”, which presumably involves large piles of technical jargon, coffee, and PowerPoint.)