Nio’s January Numbers: A Cold Wind Blows

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Nio. The name tasted like static on the ticker. Closed Monday at $4.52, down a shade under 4%. Not a collapse, not yet. But a warning. January deliveries. Ninety-six percent year-over-year growth sounded good in a press release. It didn’t smell right on the floor. Sixty-six million shares traded. A restless crowd, that. Forty percent above the usual. They were talking, and it wasn’t compliments.

The Street Today

The S&P 500 nudged up, a polite gesture. 0.54%. The Nasdaq Composite followed, 0.56%. A couple of well-dressed ghosts at a party where the music was failing. Tesla dipped, a predictable casualty. Rivian, too. Down 2.00% and 2.10% respectively. Investors were reassessing, a fancy way of saying they were starting to sweat. The electric vehicle dream was looking a little frayed around the edges.

What It Means, If Anything

Nio reported those January numbers before the bell. Twenty-seven thousand, one hundred and eighty-two vehicles. A big number, on paper. But the devil, as always, was in the decline. Forty-four percent drop from December. That’s a freeze, not a growth spurt. The Chinese EV market, it seems, isn’t a runaway train. It’s a stalled car on a wet road. And the rain’s coming down hard.

One model, the ES8 SUV, accounted for eighty-four percent of sales. That’s not diversification. That’s putting all your chips on a single number. Risky business, even for a gambler.

Nio wasn’t alone. BYD down thirty percent year-over-year. XPeng, a steeper drop at thirty-four percent. A pattern was emerging. A chill wind was blowing through the Chinese auto sector. The market had been betting on relentless expansion. Now, it was facing a hard truth: even revolutions have their winters.

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2026-02-03 01:34