Netflix [NFLX 0.10%] is, for the moment, hovering around a hundred bucks a share. It had a bit of a tumble last year, but things can change. The deal to grab Warner Bros. Discovery assets fell through. Investors, it seems, were worried about a bidding war with Paramount Skydance. A war is expensive, you know. So it goes.
Losing those Warner Bros. shows isn’t ideal. All those franchises, gone. But then, what is ideal? It’s just entertainment, after all. Still, the question remains: will this missing content keep Netflix from reaching $150? Let’s look at the numbers, though numbers rarely tell the whole story.
Why Netflix?
Netflix is everywhere. Over 190 countries. That’s a lot of screens. They make their own shows now, too. And they’ve added ads, and games. People like options. Or they tolerate them. It’s hard to say. There are over 300 million subscribers, globally. Analysts think they could get to 700 million, or even a billion. A lot of homes. Still, Netflix only gets about 10% of the total time people spend watching things. Imagine that. So it goes.
Competition is fierce. Disney, Paramount, YouTube…they all want a piece of the streaming pie. The Warner Bros. deal falling through means Netflix has less content under its belt. They’ll have to fight harder to keep people subscribed. It’s a bit like a boxing match, only the prize is attention. And attention is fleeting.
What the Numbers Say
Netflix made $45 billion last year. Up 16%. Costs went up, but not as fast as revenue. Operating income grew 28%. Not bad. Net income was $11 billion, up 26%. Numbers go up and down. That’s what they do. The stock is flat for the year, partly because of the failed Warner Bros. deal. A strange thing, isn’t it? A failure leading to stability. So it goes.
The valuation is…complicated. A P/E ratio of 38 is lower than the five-year average of 43. But the market doesn’t guarantee anything. It never does. Especially now that Netflix won’t be getting those Warner Bros. shows. The future is uncertain. It always is.
Is Netflix Going to $150?
People are wondering if they should buy Netflix stock now, or wait. I think it will eventually reach $150, despite losing the Warner Bros. deal. But when? That’s the question. Time keeps moving, regardless.
Netflix is still growing revenue. That should push the stock higher, eventually. They’re covering more of the addressable market. But competition is a serious problem. And the failed deal leaves them with no easy way to accelerate growth. Unless they come up with something new – something we haven’t seen yet – shareholders will have to be patient. Organic growth is slow. So it goes.
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2026-03-08 03:32