Macerich: A Calculated Gamble in the Retail Wasteland

Okay, let’s get one thing STRAIGHT. Triad Investment Management – those cool customers over in California – just dropped $3.82 million into Macerich. Macerich. The name itself tastes like dust and regret. 206,916 shares, folks. A quiet, almost nervous investment in a sector most analysts are circling like vultures. They’re betting on brick and mortar in a digital age. It’s…bold. Insane? Possibly. But definitely worth a closer look before the whole thing implodes.

The Numbers, Man, the Numbers

The SEC filing hit Thursday, and it’s a signal. Triad now holds 3.87% of their reportable assets in this…enterprise. It’s not a tidal wave of cash, but it’s enough to raise an eyebrow – and maybe a glass of something strong. Compared to their holdings in Warner Bros. Discovery ($9.38 million), Google ($6.48 million), and other shiny objects, Macerich feels…different. Like a forgotten corner of the portfolio. A dark horse. Or maybe just a horse that’s about to be shot.

Here’s the damage report, as of Thursday:

  • NASDAQ:WBD: $9.38 million (9.5% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:GOOGL: $6.48 million (6.6% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:ROP: $5.41 million (5.5% of AUM)
  • NYSE:WTM: $5.29 million (5.4% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:VGSH: $5.16 million (5.2% of AUM)

Macerich stock? Hanging in there at $18.32, down 2.8% over the last year. Underperforming the S&P 500 by a WHOPPING 19.53 percentage points. That’s not a dip, folks, that’s a freefall with style. Market cap? $4.69 billion. Revenue? $1.03 billion. Dividend Yield? 3.71%. The vital signs are…weak. But there’s a flicker, a desperate pulse, and Triad seems to have noticed.

The Anatomy of a Dying Mall

Let’s be clear: Macerich owns 37 regional shopping centers, totaling 39 million square feet of retail REAL ESTATE. They’re a REIT, meaning they lease space and collect rent. They serve the big boys – national and regional retailers – in densely populated areas like the West Coast, Arizona, Chicago, and the Northeast. Sounds…stable? Don’t be fooled. This is a sector built on shifting sands and the fleeting whims of consumer spending. They’re attempting to re-imagine the shopping experience, but it’s like trying to polish a tombstone.

Here’s the cold, hard data:

Metric Value
Price (as of Thursday) $18.32
Market Capitalization $4.69 billion
Revenue (TTM) $1.03 billion
Dividend Yield 3.71%

What the Hell is Triad Thinking?

This isn’t a simple play, people. Buying into Macerich now suggests a belief that the fundamentals are still there, even if sentiment is…let’s say, less than enthusiastic. It’s a contrarian bet, a willingness to wade into the wreckage while everyone else is chasing the next tech unicorn. They’re looking beyond the headlines, maybe seeing something the rest of us are missing. Or maybe they’ve just lost a bet.

Macerich owns prime real estate in coastal and Sun Belt markets. That matters. Retailers are consolidating, prioritizing fewer, more productive locations. Recent results show steady leasing momentum and improving tenant sales. Even with higher interest rates squeezing valuations, they’ve held up…relatively. Management is focused on balance sheet discipline and asset quality. It’s a slow, agonizing climb out of the abyss, but they’re trying. They posted a net loss of $87.4 million in the third quarter, but it’s an improvement from the $108.2 million loss a year earlier. Baby steps, folks. Baby steps.

At under 4% of reported assets, this isn’t a moonshot. It’s a selective allocation to a misunderstood asset class with embedded optionality. If rates stabilize, if capital markets reopen…maybe, just maybe, Macerich can claw its way back from the brink. It’s a long shot, a desperate gamble. But in this twisted, unpredictable market, sometimes the craziest bets are the ones that pay off. Or leave you completely and utterly ruined. Either way, it’s going to be a hell of a ride.

Read More

2026-01-16 18:05