Key Takeaways
When, oh when, will Solana ETFs be approved?
The SEC, in its infinite wisdom, has until mid-October to make a decision. But, of course, there’s always that ominous sense of “wait and see,” isn’t there?
What are traders *really* expecting? (No, really, what are they expecting?)
The Options and Futures market, ever the cautious critter, displayed a bit of short-term hesitation. Meanwhile, those brave souls in the spot market were stocking up, hoarding like there’s no tomorrow.
Solana [SOL], that ever-swirling enigma, surged 7% over the weekend as whispers of progress from U.S. Spot ETF filings floated in the air.
Big names like VanEck, Fidelity, CoinShares, Bitwise, Grayscale, Canary, and Franklin Templeton made fresh filings on the 26th of September. The suspense, it thickens.
James Seyffart, the Bloomberg ETF analyst who’s been watching the ETF drama unfold, assures us these filings are “signs of movement from issuers and the SEC.” (Is anyone else feeling like this is a soap opera?)
But wait! Nate Geraci, CEO of ETF Store, suggests that this “movement” might lead to approval in *two weeks*-yes, by mid-October. Mark your calendars, folks. It could be that simple… or not. Only time will tell.
The Grayscale SOL ETF application, for example, has a final SEC decision deadline on the 10th of October. The Bitwise and 21Shares filings? They’ll be waiting for their moment on the 16th of October. The plot thickens.
Market Reactions: A Tale of Two Sides
Meanwhile, the price of SOL, ever the drama queen, had dropped 24%, briefly dipping below $200, causing traders to frown and clutch their pearls. But don’t worry, the altcoin *bounced* back by 7%-from $190 to $205. A classic twist, am I right?

So, what does this mean? Well, if the ETF approval indeed sparks a rally, a dip to $180 or below could be the “bargain of the century,” paving the way for a grand rally toward $220 or even $250. You know, if everything goes according to plan. But, as with all things crypto, who really knows?
What’s even more interesting is that during the recent dip, the SOL Balance on Exchanges dropped-a sign that savvy traders (or perhaps even the ever-elusive “smart money”) were accumulating like there’s no tomorrow. About 3 million SOL left exchanges in the past six days. The plot thickens, once again.

Options and Skew: Traders Playing It Safe
But not everyone is jumping on the ETF bandwagon. Top traders on Binance, those cautious characters, trimmed their long positions by 5%, dropping to 69%-a monthly low. (Oh, the humanity!)
It’s no surprise after the recent wave of liquidations, which, let’s face it, can leave even the most seasoned traders shaking in their boots.

But fear not, my friends! The leverage flush could pave the way for a healthier recovery. The *real* drama will come from the spot flows, and perhaps, just perhaps, the ETF momentum might give us the happy ending we’ve all been waiting for.
Options data, however, tells a different tale. Traders, while cautiously optimistic, are still hedging their bets. The sentiment, according to the 25-Delta Skew, is neutral in the short-term but surprisingly negative in the mid-term. (Yes, even the options market has its own secrets.)
In short, the 1-week tenor? Neutral. The 1-month and 3-month tenors? Negative. It’s almost like waiting for the next season of your favorite show… unsure whether it’s going to be a cliffhanger or a complete letdown.

Will the ETF approval bring clarity in Q4? Will traders adjust their strategies? Only time, and a little bit of luck, will tell. Stay tuned, dear reader. It’s bound to get *interesting*.
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2025-09-27 20:13