Ah, the grand theater of geopolitics! It seems that week after week, we are treated to a melodrama where risk assets wail and gnash their teeth. This week, approximately $120 billion has evaporated from the market, as if it were a magician’s trick, coaxing the TOTAL index back to its pre-election slumber.
Meanwhile, our trusty gold (XAU) managed a modest rebound, reaffirming its status as the faithful old dog investors turn to when the wolves of uncertainty circle closer. Yet, in a twist of fate befitting a tragicomedy, XAU found itself down 3.19% on February 12th-perhaps it was just a case of bad timing?

And so, we ponder: What on earth stirred this tempest? Bloomberg, in its ever-perturbed wisdom, suggested that Russia might be flirting once more with the U.S. dollar, embarking on a romantic economic partnership that could have us all swooning.
From a technical vantage point, this dalliance hints at the dollar reclaiming its position as the settlement tool of choice, perhaps offering the DXY a much-needed gust after a year spent languishing in the depths of despair.
Yet, the impending dip in Bitcoin [BTC]-down 1.2%-and the S&P500 (SPX), which took a more severe tumble at 1.57%, paints a picture of a market seemingly uninterested in a bullish narrative. Clearly, the session resembled nothing short of another “market-wide” flush, leaving us reminiscent of a failed carnival ride.
As if scripted by divine irony, a stronger dollar now renders bonds a more enticing high-yield alternative, thus diminishing the allure of Bitcoin’s risk-reward appeal. Oh, the tangled web we weave!
However, history bears witness that a declining dollar hasn’t consistently catapulted Bitcoin into the stratosphere. This brings us to a pivotal inquiry: Could a shift in sentiment surrounding a robust U.S. dollar paradoxically breathe life back into risk assets?
Is sentiment the new backbone of Bitcoin?
The market, it appears, remains unconvinced that Bitcoin has reached its nadir. A veritable parade of signals elucidates this hesitation.
Consider the Bitcoin ETFs, for instance, which saw a staggering $276 million in outflows after three days of hopeful inflows-an indication that institutional demand is about as stable as a tightrope walker on a windy day.

Adding to the suspense, Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Index (CPI) still refuses to don its bullish attire since peaking before October’s unfortunate debacle. In this theatrical backdrop, proclaiming a BTC bottom feels like a premature curtain call, with sentiment still far from a reset.
Yet, amidst this chaos, accumulation persists! Heavyweights like Binance and Strategy (MSTR) have gobbled up over 42k BTC in 2026 alone, akin to gluttons at a buffet, signaling robust long-term positioning despite the omnipresent fog of uncertainty.
Structurally speaking, Bitcoin continues to dance precariously around the $60K mark, with accumulation serving as a makeshift support cushion. The pivotal question looms: Will this range evolve into a breakout, or shall we remain in this purgatory until sentiment transforms?
Herein lies the brilliance of the Bloomberg report, as underscored by AMBCrypto. Sentiment, more than mere structure, is orchestrating Bitcoin’s movements. A strategic partnership between two titans of industry could rekindle investor confidence-an event worthy of our closest attention.
Final Thoughts
- Despite structural support around $60k, Bitcoin’s whims are governed more by sentiment than by charts.
- Russia’s return to USD settlements and a potential strategic partnership could alleviate macro FUD, impacting both the DXY and risk assets.
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2026-02-13 12:17