Investors do strange things when the market sneezes. On November 13, TFJ Management decided to dance in the rain. The Massachusetts-based fund took a $6.43 million position in Clearwater Analytics (CWAN +1.32%), buying 357,043 shares like they were discounted cigars. The move represented 4.3% of their reportable assets. Not a rounding error. Not a dartboard experiment. A stake planted squarely in a stock that’s spent the past year playing dead. So it goes.
Clearwater Analytics is a company that turns numbers into religion. Their SaaS platform automates investment data aggregation, reconciliation, accounting-services that sound as thrilling as watching paint dry until you realize insurers and pension funds can’t pay claims without them. The business model? Recurring revenue from institutional clients who’d rather not drown in spreadsheets. The product? Cloud software that whispers sweet compliance into the ears of corporations and governments. The stock price? $22.25 as of Friday. Down 20% from its peak. The S&P 500, meanwhile, has been climbing the walls like a caffeinated spider monkey. So it goes.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue (TTM) | $640.38 million |
| Net Income (TTM) | $392.54 million |
| Price (as of market close Friday) | $22.25 |
| One-Year Price Change | (20%) |
TFJ Management’s portfolio reads like a junk-food aisle of growth stocks: AppLovin, Coupang, KAR Auction Services. Volatile snacks for investors with iron stomachs. Adding Clearwater to this circus isn’t a whim. It’s a bet on durability. The company reported Q3 revenue up 77% year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA soaring 84% to $70.7 million, and net revenue retention of 108%. They paid off $40 million in debt last quarter. The math checks out. The problem? The stock market isn’t always a math test. Sometimes it’s a high school popularity contest. So it goes.
The bulls argue Clearwater operates in a niche so specialized, so dripping with regulatory necessity, that its clients can’t afford to leave. Their software isn’t a luxury-it’s a life raft in a sea of SEC filings and Basel III requirements. The bears? They’ll point to that 20% decline and whisper, “Last year’s hero, this year’s zero.” Both sides might be right. The company’s fundamentals are better than your neighbor’s lawn. The stock? Still hiding behind a cloud shaped like a question mark.
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Investing in Clearwater Analytics isn’t for those who measure life in quarterly earnings calls. This is a game for stoics with long memories. The business grows. Cash flows. Debts shrink. But the stock tape? It’s still catching its breath. Patience, as they say, is a virtue when you’re waiting for the market to stop panicking. So it goes 🎲.
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2025-12-21 03:23