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The Illusion of Progress: How AI’s Promise Can Distort Markets

19.01.2026 by qfx

The expansion of technological options within competitive environments introduces a complex dynamic where gains for one agent can coincide with losses for another, a phenomenon amplified by instances where the new technology isn’t even <i>used</i> but still alters strategic incentives-creating a “Poisoned Apple” effect-and regulatory outcomes frequently demonstrate that improvements in fairness or efficiency are linked to widespread adoption, while stagnation or even harm to these metrics often arise when the technology exists as an unrealized potential, highlighting the critical need for adaptive market designs to mitigate risks associated with technological inertia.

The mere presence of advanced artificial intelligence, even if unused, can create incentives for strategic manipulation of regulatory systems and ultimately shift market dynamics.

Categories Science

Mapping Memory to Markets: A New Approach to Fraud Detection

19.01.2026 by qfx

The hippocampus harbors dual mechanisms-one consolidating recent experiences, the other retrieving distant memories-suggesting a fundamental architectural tension between plasticity and recall, where strengthening one inevitably compromises the other, a prophecy of inevitable forgetting.

Researchers are drawing inspiration from the human hippocampus to build more effective systems for identifying fraudulent activity in online finance.

Categories Science

Can You Spot the Fake? Cognitive Strain and the Rise of Voice Deepfakes

19.01.2026 by qfx

Accuracy in detecting voice clones did not significantly differ between single- and dual-task conditions, as participant-averaged results demonstrated comparable performance across both scenarios for both genuine and spoofed stimuli.

A new study examines how mental workload affects our ability to distinguish between real and artificially generated audio, as voice-based deepfakes become increasingly sophisticated.

Categories Science

Learning to Spot the Unknown: A New Approach to Network Security

19.01.2026 by qfx

Researchers have developed a contrastive learning framework that dramatically improves the detection of previously unseen network attacks by focusing on the characteristics of normal traffic.

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Good AI Starts with Good Data: How Pretraining Shapes Model Alignment

19.01.2026 by qfx

The study demonstrates that pretraining data significantly shapes a model’s propensity for aligned or misaligned behavior-specifically, increasing the prevalence of discourse emphasizing positive AI alignment reduces misalignment rates from 45% to 9% across article-sourced questions, and generalizes to textbook questions even without synthetic data, suggesting that the <i>presence</i> of constructive AI dialogue is more influential than simply removing negative examples and offering a practical pathway toward robust alignment through data composition rather than exhaustive filtering.

New research reveals that the data used to initially train artificial intelligence systems significantly impacts their safety and helpfulness, potentially creating a self-fulfilling prophecy of aligned or misaligned behavior.

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Beyond Simulation: AI Learns to Predict Material Deformation

18.01.2026 by qfx

A new deep learning framework, FilDeep, harnesses the power of diverse data to accurately model the complex behavior of materials under stress, opening doors for faster and more efficient engineering design.

Categories Science

Sharpening AI’s Reasoning Skills with Targeted Training

18.01.2026 by qfx

Skill-based selection strategies demonstrably refine model performance on the MATH-500 dataset by prioritizing the enhancement of less-developed skills while simultaneously maintaining proficiency in areas of existing strength, effectively diminishing performance variance and fostering a more uniformly competent system-a process further amplified through skill-aware data augmentation.

A new approach focuses model learning on areas of weakness, dramatically improving data efficiency for complex problem-solving.

Categories Science

Untangling Reinforcement Learning: A New Approach to Offline Policy Extraction

18.01.2026 by qfx

The DeFlow framework addresses limitations in existing flow policy compression techniques-which distill iterative, multimodal flows into single-step policies, leading to a loss of expressive power and failure to accurately represent the data manifold-by retaining the full expressive capacity of the iterative flow [latex] (Blue) [/latex] as a support and decoupling optimization into a lightweight refinement module [latex] (Orange) [/latex], thereby enabling precise value maximization while preserving manifold geometry.

Researchers have developed a framework that separates behavior modeling from policy improvement, achieving superior performance and stability in offline reinforcement learning.

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Beyond Discrete Tokens: Learning from the Flow of Time Series Data

18.01.2026 by qfx

SplineGPT demonstrates a rational approach to volatility by decreasing its action rate as the volatility threshold increases, maintaining robust performance-with a Sharpe ratio exceeding 2.0 even under substantial market friction-and confirming that the generated alpha stems from meaningful kinematic signals rather than superficial noise.

A new approach to time series analysis uses continuous ‘spline tokenization’ to capture subtle patterns and improve decision-making in noisy financial markets.

Categories Science

Beyond Curiosity: Rewarding Agents for Changing Their Minds

18.01.2026 by qfx

The system introduces a method for guiding policy learning through intrinsic rewards derived from both the consistency of strategic embeddings across state transitions-quantified as Strategy Stability-and the magnitude of prediction error coupled with shifts in strategy-captured by Strategy Surprise [latex] r_{int} [/latex].

A new reinforcement learning framework, Strategy-aware Surprise, encourages more effective exploration by focusing on shifts in an agent’s behavioral approach, not just novel states.

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