Cap’s Box Office Battle: ‘Brave New World’ Faces Estimate Dip Amid ‘Winter Soldier’ Shadow

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Two days before the premiere of “Captain America: Brave New World,” the projected earnings at the box office have decreased compared to roughly three weeks ago.

What are the estimates?

Captain America: Brave New World commences its run over the extended four-day President’s Day weekend. Initial forecasts at the end of January suggested an opening of more than $95 million. However, these predictions have been slightly adjusted to a projected take of $94 million.

The deadline for collection is set at $80 million, while two years ago, Quantumania opened to a four-day total of $120.3 million and a three-day collection of $106.1 million – and that’s for an Ant-Man movie.

The website attempts to exaggerate the initial low predictions for Captain America: Brave New World by drawing comparisons to Captain America: The Winter Soldier, suggesting they are similar genres (which seems questionable). However, when accounting for inflation, The Winter Soldier far surpasses those figures with a $125 million earnings within three days and over $133 million in four days – without the advantage of launching on a holiday weekend.

Ticket sales

The positive aspect is that ticket sales appear to have experienced an increase, as they’re currently running 40% ahead of the pre-sales for the movie “Eternals,” which opened with a $71 million box office take in January.

The ticket sales for “Captain America: Brave New World” are currently running about 10% to 15% below those of “Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania.” If this trend continues, it’s possible that “Brave New World” could still open above $100 million. However, with estimates at just $94 million, it seems that there will be fewer last-minute ticket purchases for “Brave New World,” which might indicate less overall excitement or hype surrounding the film.

International box office

Globally, it’s projected that the release of “Captain America: Brave New World” will bring in approximately $110 million on its opening weekend. This is expected to rise to a total global opening of around $190 million.

Simultaneously with its release in China, it’s been announced that ticket sales for “Brave New World” have been impressively robust, surpassing the initial sales of “The Batman” ($175K), “Deadpool & Wolverine” ($221K), and “Transformers: Rise of the Beasts” ($250K).

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Word-of-mouth

The success or failure of this movie largely depends on word-of-mouth. If it’s truly well-made, Marvel has little to fret about since positive buzz will circulate swiftly. Conversely, if the movie fails to impress or sends a negative message, be prepared for a significant decrease in viewership during its second week.

It’s fair to say that Anthony Mackie’s recent political remarks haven’t been well received, and it doesn’t seem like they matter much to him (in simpler terms, he appears unconcerned). Additionally, the news about rewrites and reshoots for the project hasn’t done anything to boost its image either.

I’m seeing the flick on Thursday so I’ll get my reaction and review out ASAP.

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2025-02-12 03:31