Buffett’s Occidental: A Wodehousian Market Fable

In the ever-twirling kaleidoscope of the stock market, where fortunes ebb and flow with the caprices of the commodity market, one finds a tale that would make even the most staid of accountants crack a discreet smile. Our estimable friend Mr. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has, with a dash of that peculiar panache only a market sage can muster, placed its considerable trust in Occidental Petroleum. The oil giant, despite a rather whimsical performance in the most recent quarter, has managed to deliver a performance that is nothing short of a dashing feat. In its second-quarter report, Occidental produced an adjusted income of $396 million (that is, 39 cents per share), a figure that, while modest compared to the $860 million (or 87 cents per share) of the previous quarter, still sparkles with a certain understated charm given the mercurial nature of oil and gas prices. After all, one must remember that the global price of crude oil dipped a genteel 10% and domestic natural gas – bless its impulsive soul – plunged a whopping 45%.

Yet, much like a protagonist in a Wodehousian escapade who finds himself momentarily discomfited by an unexpected twist, Occidental did not let these fluctuations dampen its spirits. With a gusto that would make even the most jaded investor raise an approving eyebrow, the company’s midstream and marketing segments surged ahead. In a performance that bordered on the sublime, Occidental churned out 1.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, a figure that soared past the mid-point of its guidance. Meanwhile, its chemicals business, OxyChem, maintained a steady performance, much as one would expect from a reliable old friend who never lets you down.

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In a display of financial acumen that would be the envy of even the most accomplished Jeeves-like strategist, Occidental’s operational efficiency shone through. Operating cash flow before working capital adjustments reached a hearty $2.6 billion, while free cash flow amassed $700 million – a slight dip from the previous quarter, but still nothing short of commendable given the circumstances.

A Dashing Display in Debt Diminution

Occidental, ever the industrious fellow, has been quite the virtuoso in its pursuit of debt reduction. With an abundance of free cash flow at its disposal, the company not only continues to pay its dividends but has also embarked on a rather clever divestiture strategy. Since the onset of the second quarter, it has managed to sell off noncore assets totalling an impressive $950 million. Among these, a particularly dashing move saw it part with $370 million worth of noncore and select non-operating Permian Basin upstream assets. Moreover, in a recent flourish of financial theatrics, Occidental agreed to sell some gas-gathering assets in the Midland Basin to the capable hands of Enterprise Products Partners for $580 million. These asset sales have brought the total to a formidable $4 billion – edging ever closer to its target range of $4.5 billion to $6 billion. With such fiscal prudence, Occidental has repaid $3 billion of debt so far this year, and since July 2024, it has retired a staggering $7.5 billion of debt – a feat that has saved it $410 million in annual interest expenses, far surpassing its own target of at least $4.5 billion in debt reduction.

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The Bright Horizons of Occidental’s Fortunes

Looking toward the future with the optimism of a sunny afternoon, Occidental plans to channel its excess free cash flow-after meeting its dividend obligations and asset sales-toward repaying its remaining debt. With approximately $1.6 billion of debt maturing in 2026 and another $1.5 billion in 2027, the company seems confident that it will not be left high and dry. Thanks to anticipated interest expense savings, incremental earnings from upcoming chemicals projects, and the expiry of favorable midstream contracts, Occidental is forecasting a boost in free cash flow of about $1 billion in 2026 and an additional $500 million in 2027. Such financial alacrity promises to pave the way for additional cash returns to investors, possibly in the form of resumed share repurchases and the redemption of Berkshire’s preferred equity investment from 2019.

A Paragon of Pristine Performance

At the heart of this delightful narrative lies Berkshire Hathaway’s sagacious decision to acquire nearly 27% of Occidental’s outstanding shares-a stake valued at roughly $12 billion and representing about 4% of its illustrious portfolio. This dashing endorsement, which places Occidental as the seventh-largest holding, is a testament to Buffett’s uncanny ability to spot a gem even when the market seems as capricious as a tempestuous summer storm. In an era where crude oil prices perform an erratic ballet, Occidental’s sterling second-quarter showing and commendable progress in debt reduction serve as beacons of optimism. Investors can take comfort in the knowledge that, much like a protagonist rescued by a Jeeves-like strategy, Occidental is well-positioned to enhance shareholder value in the years to come. And if there’s one thing more dashingly clever in the world of market analysis than a company that navigates financial vicissitudes with such aplomb, then I haven’t yet met it.

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2025-08-10 11:33