Ah, Bitcoin, that shimmering digital enigma! One Arthur Hayes, with an audacious grin, proclaims that this fleeting fantasy could ascend to a staggering $250,000 by the year’s end. The whisper of the Federal Reserve, he muses, hints at a pivot—a quixotic retreat into the kaleidoscopic realm of money printing, where fiscal majesty reigns supreme over the pedestrian agony of inflation.
Meet our protagonist, Arthur Hayes, the erstwhile captain of the crypto ship Bitmex, now sailing the choppy waters of the investment realm at Maelstrom. In an essay, both startling and surreal, released on the 31st of March—a date bordering on the riddled—he postulates that Bitcoin is destined for the dazzling heights of $250,000 by the twilight of 2025. A stunning trajectory, indeed, buoyed by the immense gusts of the Federal Reserve’s monetary maneuvers.
“The technology,” he muses with a twinkle, “remains unchanged, impervious to the to-ing and fro-ing of fate. Thus, Bitcoin dances to the rhythms of market anticipation, the expectant platitudes of fiat reality.” He adds with a flourish:
As the celestial charts align—if my interpretation of the Fed’s dramatic tango from QT to QE holds weight—then Bitcoin, after grazing the humble pasture of $76,500 last month, is poised for uncharted ascensions toward the glittering $250,000.
“Now, let’s not kid ourselves—this is not an exact science; after all, even a blind squirrel finds a nut.” He opines, chuckling at the absurdity of it all. “If it were a wager, I’d wager on Bitcoin reaching $110,000 before glancing back at $76,500.” One mustn’t overlook the irony that this sage was recently graced by a pardon from President Trump himself, a twist befitting a Shakespearean comedy.
In his narrative, Hayes reveals a theatrical face-off between the venerable Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the audacious U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, where Bessent, in a flurry of bluster, seeks to reduce Powell to a mere footnote in the annals of fiscal history. At the crux of this grand allegory lies the cheeky acronym “BBC”—a tongue-in-cheek nod to Bessent’s towering dominance (if only in his own mind) and Powell’s weary resignation.
This playful nomenclature encapsulates Hayes’ assertion of fiscal authority’s resurgence: our central bank now dutifully serves the insatiable appetites of government coffers. “The tempo of capital may waltz or stumble,” he reflects with a smirk, “but I dare to believe in the prophecy of Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end, for the BBC has firmly placed Powell in the back seat, and the Fed will unleash a deluge of dollars upon us.”
Hayes hastens to cite policy whispers, and echoes from Powell’s mouth during a March press conference, hints at relinquishing mortgage-backed securities as if casting aside an old garment. An unmistakable pivot towards Treasury-centric quantitative easing while leaving quantitative tightening to languish in a dusty corner.
Moreover, our sage notes a peculiarly revelatory statement from Bessent, insinuating that abolishing the supplementary leverage ratio might well reduce Treasury bill yields, a tantalizing 30 to 70 basis points—a veritable buffet inviting hungry banks to gorge themselves on government debt, thus seasoning the liquidity stew.
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2025-04-03 03:59