Prediction markets are tittering with glee as traders on Polymarket and Kalshi wager on bitcoin’s 2025 fate, their collective wisdom far less flamboyant than the “moon-meme” brigade’s delirious daydreams.
Prom King of Prediction Markets: Bitcoin’s Six-Figure Ambitions
At 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on Nov. 19, 2025, bitcoin trades at $91,758, a sum that would make a Victorian baronet weep into his sherry. Yet the punters, armed with cold hard cash and a dash of common sense, insist the crypto party remains a garden party, not a pyrotechnic display.
Polymarket’s blockbuster contract, “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?,” has raked in $59 million in volume, but the crowd’s appetite for a $1 million-per-coin bonanza? A paltry 0.5%-as if they’ve read the script and know the sequel is a reboot. Even the $250k and $200k tiers garner less than 2% odds, proving traders aren’t auditioning for a crypto-driven Hollywood epic.
The mid-range brackets ($170k, $150k) flirt with 3% odds, while $140k gets a smidge of attention at 5%. But the real drama? Between $100k and $130k, where Polymarket’s punters hand six-figure bitcoin a 62% shot. Prom king, yes, but now he’s driving a hatchback, not a Lamborghini.

The $110k tier follows at 31%, $120k at 14%, and $130k at 7%. Below current levels? Traders hedge with the enthusiasm of a man choosing between two shades of beige. A 36% chance for $80k, 13% for $70k, and a 1% tail-risk bet on $20k-because why not? Catastrophe is always in fashion.
Kalshi’s market, “How high will Bitcoin get this year?,” agrees almost entirely. The $130k+ bracket? A mere 9%. Above $160k? Odds hover between 2% and 4%, while the ludicrous $500k target gets a 0.9% nod-proof that even optimists have limits.

In unison, these markets whisper: optimism exists, but it’s the kind that packs a thermos and a contingency plan. Six-figure bitcoin remains a favorite, but the crowd’s no longer dreaming in neon. It’s a “responsible adult” bet, not a laser-eyes fever dream.
FAQ ❓
- What price target has the highest odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket’s punters give bitcoin a 62% shot at $100k in 2025-enough to make your uncle proud, if he’s into crypto. - How high do Kalshi traders think bitcoin will go this year?
Kalshi’s crowd thinks $130k+ is a 9% gamble-about as likely as a vegan eating a steak. - What is bitcoin’s current price as traders place these predictions?
$91,758, a sum that would buy you a modest flat in London-or a very expensive cup of tea. - Are traders expecting extreme bitcoin highs next year?
Less than 1% odds on $300k+-because even crypto’s wildest dreams need a nap.
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2025-11-19 18:04