Bitcoin Hits $99,400, Hovers Below Elusive $100,000 Mark – When Will It Break Through?

As a seasoned analyst with over two decades of experience navigating financial markets, I must say that the recent surge in Bitcoin following Trump’s victory is nothing short of intriguing. The convergence of political shifts and technological innovation has created an environment ripe for disruption, much like the dot-com boom of the late 90s.


In the two weeks following Donald Trump’s victory over Kamala Harris, the world’s most significant cryptocurrency has skyrocketed by over 40%. This surge is attributed to the incoming administration’s favorable stance towards cryptocurrencies and the expected departure of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler on January 20.

Daily trading volumes on the spot market have increased significantly from around $10-12 billion a few months back to over $25 billion currently, indicating a growing investor interest. This significant increase has boosted bitcoin‘s market dominance to approximately 58% of the entire cryptocurrency market, which now stands at over $1.9 trillion in total value.

As a researcher, I’m noticing an overwhelmingly optimistic outlook towards Bitcoin across various sectors: traders, media, individual investors, and institutional players alike. It appears everyone is eager to seize the opportunity of this potential bull run, which might just be in its initial stages. This observation comes from my perspective, based on insights from Marc P. Bernegger, cofounder of AltAlpha Digital, a crypto fund of funds.

Trump’s pledge to turn the U.S. into a global leader in cryptocurrencies and create a strategic Bitcoin reserve has boosted market trust. The pro-cryptocurrency stance of the incoming president has been clear through his campaign accepting crypto donations and speaking at Bitcoin events. Furthermore, his family has initiated World Liberty Financial, a new business venture specializing in cryptocurrency trading.

According to Patrick Liou, head of institutional sales at Gemini, the $100,000 level is crucial. He explained that significant volatility on the rise often grabs investor attention, which is still relatively subdued when looking at historical Google search trends for ‘bitcoin.’ This could potentially spark a continued surge in bitcoin prices beyond the $100,000 mark, particularly in the period leading up to the inauguration and Q1 2025.

The gathering further amplifies the momentum generated by January’s endorsement of spot Bitcoin ETFs, enabling investors to invest in Bitcoin indirectly without owning the digital currency itself. Notably, Citi analysts mentioned that these ETFs have experienced some of their highest inflows ever since the election.

Eric Demuth, CEO and co-founder of Bitpanda, sees the present market scenario as a turning point. “The last piece of doubt has been eliminated, and it appears that the world’s biggest financial market is about to adopt liberal, crypto-friendly regulations in our sector,” he stated. He further mentioned that the combination of rising retail adoption, regulation of the European crypto market, and integration into conventional financial systems has established an ideal environment for expansion.

However, experts caution that cryptocurrency markets remain volatile. Bitcoin’s history includes a dramatic fall from nearly $69,000 in November 2021 to below $17,000 during the 2022 crypto market crash, triggered by aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes and the collapse of FTX. This history serves as a reminder of the potential risks for investors.

 

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2024-11-22 13:38