Bitcoin: A Modest Proposal for June

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Observe, dear reader, the curious case of Bitcoin. Many, understandably, regard it with the suspicion one reserves for a traveling salesman peddling elixirs. It’s down, they say, a mere 17% this year, and a rather more substantial 40% from its peak. A sorry state, perhaps, but precisely the moment for a discerning eye to detect opportunity. After all, fortunes aren’t built on smooth seas, but salvaged from the wreckage.

We propose two reasons, not guarantees, mind you, but possibilities – whispers in the digital wind – that suggest a modest resurgence before the end of June. Consider it a speculation, a calculated gamble, if you will, for those with the stomach for it.

The Quarterly Dance

Let us examine the historical record. Between 2013 and 2025, Bitcoin has exhibited a peculiar habit: a quarterly bloom in the second quarter. The numbers, as compiled by Coinglass, reveal an average return of 27%. A rather generous benefactor, wouldn’t you agree? Last year, it gifted us 30%, and prior to that, a string of performances that would make a seasoned impresario envious. In 2017, a staggering 123% gain, and in 2019, a positively exuberant 159%.

I make no pronouncements of doubling your investment, merely suggest that such volatility is, shall we say, characteristic. Bitcoin is a capricious beast, prone to sudden leaps and equally dramatic plunges. A gambler’s paradise, if you’re inclined to see it that way.

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Should Bitcoin, through a combination of luck and market whims, approach even the faintest echo of its 2017 or 2019 performance, a price of $100,000 by June would be, if not probable, then certainly within the realm of possibility. A tidy sum, wouldn’t you say? Enough to fund a small expedition, perhaps, or acquire a slightly used dirigible.

The Strategic Reserve: A Government’s Folly?

Now, let us turn our attention to a more intriguing proposition: the U.S. Treasury’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Created with much fanfare a year ago, it remains, to date, largely populated by coins seized from unfortunate souls. A curious state of affairs, wouldn’t you agree? One might suspect a bureaucratic oversight, or perhaps a subtle form of economic sabotage.

But imagine, if you will, the Treasury deciding to purchase Bitcoin. The original plan, as whispered among those in the know, called for a million coins – roughly 5% of the total in circulation. Based on the calculations of The CORP-DEPO, this would instantly transform the U.S. government into one of the largest Bitcoin holders on the planet. A rather ironic turn of events, wouldn’t you say? The state, becoming a speculator.

Such a move, one suspects, would inspire imitation. Other sovereign nations, observing the U.S. scooping up Bitcoin at a mere $73,000, might be tempted to follow suit. A frenzy, a stampede, a delightful chaos.

This scenario, admittedly, borders on the improbable. Yet, certain high-profile investors, notably Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, believe it could materialize as we approach the U.S. midterm elections. The temptation to “juice” the crypto markets, she suggests, might prove irresistible. And what better way to achieve this than by announcing a Bitcoin acquisition for the Strategic Reserve? A masterstroke, if you will, worthy of a seasoned political manipulator.

A Modest Rebound?

Combine these two factors – the historical quarterly performance and the potential for government intervention – and a reversal of fortune in the second quarter becomes, shall we say, plausible. Remember, the average return for Bitcoin in this period over the past decade has been a respectable 27%. At the current price of $73,000, that translates to roughly $93,000 by the end of June. A modest gain, perhaps, but a gain nonetheless.

Of course, Bitcoin offers no guarantees. Historical performance is merely a guide, not a prophecy. But I confess, I find myself increasingly bullish about its prospects for the remainder of 2026. A calculated risk, perhaps. But as any seasoned gambler knows, fortune favors the bold.

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2026-03-06 13:03