Oil, Markets, and the Improbable

The current situation revolves, predictably, around oil. Specifically, the rather inconvenient fact that a significant portion of it – roughly 20%, give or take a tanker load – is currently refusing to flow through the Strait of Hormuz. This isn’t a matter of the oil being deliberately obstinate, of course. It’s merely that geopolitical events have, shall we say, discouraged its passage. Rapidan Energy, a firm whose job it is to worry about this sort of thing, has rather dramatically declared this the “biggest oil supply disruption in history.” One imagines their coffee breaks are… lively.







