
UPS’s earnings report will likely be a dirge, not a dirge for the company, but for the credulity of those who still cling to its dividend like a life raft in a sea of fiscal folly. A 7.6% yield is no mere statistic; it is the market’s verdict, cold and unyielding-a verdict that the dividend, like Icarus’s wings, is crafted from unsustainable wax. And yet, management persists in its delusions of grandeur. CEO Carol Tome, with the solemnity of a priest at a state funeral, declared the dividend “rock solid,” as though UPS’s free cash flow were the Nile, inexhaustible and eternal. But the Nile does not drown its banks; it nourishes them. UPS’s $5.5 billion payout in 2025, paired with $1 billion in buybacks, is a flood that drowns the roots of its own future.