Abel’s Berkshire: A Quiet Succession

Three observations, it seems to me, warrant particular attention, like islands rising from the fog.

Three observations, it seems to me, warrant particular attention, like islands rising from the fog.

President Trump, a man who regards tariffs as a form of economic alchemy, insists he’s conjured an American miracle. The figures, however, whisper a different tale. GDP growth of a mere 2.2%? Job creation stalled at 181,000? It’s a performance that would barely qualify as a brisk walk, let alone a sprint towards prosperity. One begins to suspect the miracle involves a rather elaborate sleight of hand.

The initial reports, trumpeting Paramount’s supposed ‘win’, were particularly nauseating. As if accumulating debt and integrating disparate, often failing, assets constitutes success. The price, a staggering sum exceeding one hundred billion dollars, is, of course, merely a detail. Accountants will fret, shareholders will murmur, but the senior executives will, as always, secure their bonuses. The choreography is depressingly familiar.

Some investors, the ones who like to pick through the rubble, are looking at this. A thousand dollars. Could it make you richer? Well, that depends on your definition of rich. And your luck. Mostly luck.

The truly alarming thing is not the speculation itself—for folly has always been with us—but the assumption that it can be profitable. To build a lasting fortune, a nest egg for one’s declining years, requires a degree of patience and calculation that is conspicuously absent in these digital gaming dens. There is, alas, a more sensible path, though one rarely trodden by those intoxicated with the promise of instant riches.

The company, along with its competitor Joby Aviation, has consumed capital at a rate that would shame a profligate nation. Progress towards actual, commercially viable operation has been, to put it mildly, sluggish. This is not a failure of engineering, necessarily, but a demonstration of the enduring truth that turning ambition into reality requires more than optimistic projections and venture capital.

Wall Street, that perpetually anxious entity, now trembles not before identifiable risks, but before the sheer, yawning possibility of obsolescence. The question is not if certain companies will be rendered irrelevant, but when, and the anticipation has manifested as a slow, creeping malaise. Share prices, those fragile indicators of collective delusion, have begun to reflect this uncertainty, falling not in response to concrete failures, but to the vague, unsettling potential for failure. It is a most peculiar form of punishment – to be penalized for a crime yet uncommitted.

They’re building factories again, the suits say. Bringing jobs back home. As if that solves anything beyond their quarterly reports. Caterpillar benefits, sure. More demand for their earth-moving equipment. More concrete poured, more steel erected…more of the same, just repackaged as “progress.” Spending is up 40% since 2020? A temporary spike, a sugar rush for the industrial complex. Don’t mistake a twitch for a sustained recovery. The world is fundamentally broken, and a few new factories aren’t going to fix it. They’re just building bigger, shinier tombs.

At a market capitalization of $113 billion, and a price-to-earnings ratio of 30, expectations hang heavy, like a perpetually overcast sky. The firm is, ostensibly, a facilitator of transactions, a conduit for capital. But one suspects a deeper purpose, a relentless accumulation of accounts, a sort of digital hoarding that defies logical explanation. Is this growth, or merely a symptom of a larger, unseen process, a bureaucratic imperative to expand, to consume, regardless of actual need?

On a not-so-ordinary Friday, March 7, Samuel Armes, champion of the Florida Blockchain Business Association, declared on X that a new law-Senate Bill 314, or SB314 for those who love acronyms-has survived the legislative jungle. Gov. Ron DeSantis is expected to bless it with a signature soon, completing this comedy of bureaucratic triumph.