TTM Technologies: A Blip on the Radar

Apparently, Metavasi, a name that sounds suspiciously like a villain from a low-budget sci-fi film, dropped $11.8 million on 171,202 shares of TTM Technologies (TTMI +7.51%). $11.8 million. It’s a sum that feels both incredibly specific and utterly meaningless. Like knowing the exact number of paperclips in the supply closet. They’re now holding 4.81% of the fund’s $245.42 million in U.S. equities. Which means, if my calculations are correct (and they rarely are), that TTM Technologies is roughly equivalent to… well, a lot of paperclips.

Realty Income: A Slow Decline?

The sheer magnitude of Realty Income presents a problem, a rather obvious one, really. To meaningfully shift the figures on the balance sheet requires acquisitions of truly substantial size. Smaller, more nimble net lease REITs possess a distinct advantage in this regard. The dividend, a metric held dear by its devotees, has crept upwards at a modest 4.2% annualized rate over the past thirty years. A respectable, if hardly dazzling, performance. Yet, in the recent fiscal year, the monthly payout edged forward from $0.264 to $0.27 per share. A paltry 2.3% increase. One begins to suspect the well is running rather shallow.

VIG: A Dividend Play in a Shifting Market

The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG +0.20%) is up, a modest four percent this year. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF? Flat. It’s not a landslide, but in a market that’s developed a sudden aversion to risk, it’s a signal. A quiet one, but a signal nonetheless. This ETF leans toward quality, toward value. And right now, that’s a tailwind in a market that’s decided expensive toys aren’t as much fun anymore.

Midterms & Markets: A Most Improbable Correlation

FactSet Research, those dedicated chroniclers of financial expectation, suggest a target of 8,255 for the S&P 500. A 21% increase. It’s a bold prediction. (One wonders if they’ve factored in the inherent unpredictability of human behavior, the occasional rogue asteroid, or the possibility that everyone will collectively decide that money is, in fact, entirely pointless. These things happen.) However, there’s a wrinkle. A small, potentially market-disrupting wrinkle. And it involves something called “midterm elections.”

A Minor Disbursement at Cirrus Logic

Cirrus Logic Logo

The figures, of course, are merely abstractions. One might as well attempt to quantify the scent of rain or the melancholy of a forgotten button. The weighted average purchase price, a paltry $143.16, and the closing price on the aforementioned eleventh of February, $141.18, are presented with a solemnity usually reserved for the pronouncements of oracles. As if a few decimal points could truly capture the capricious nature of the market.

ON Semiconductor: Still Worth a Look?

Girl Investing Secret

ON Semiconductor, for those unfamiliar, makes the little bits of silicon that make…well, just about everything work. Specifically, they’re into power and sensing chips. This puts them smack-dab in the middle of two rather large trends: electrification and automation. They’ve been putting a lot of effort into silicon carbide (SiC) and gallium nitride (GaN) chips. Now, I’m no physicist, but apparently, these materials are a bit like the Usain Bolt of semiconductors. They can handle higher temperatures and voltages, making them ideal for electric vehicles, renewable energy, and all sorts of industrial applications. GaN, meanwhile, is speedy, efficient, and good for AI data centers. It’s a bit like upgrading from a horse-drawn carriage to a rocket ship.

Druckenmiller’s Bets: Smoke & Mirrors?

Natera. Thirteen percent of his portfolio. That’s a commitment, or a desperation move, depending on your view. Genetic testing. Women’s health, cancer, the usual. They’re losing money now, but promise high-teens growth. Everyone promises growth. The margins are expanding, they say. Sixty-one point eight to sixty-four point nine percent. That’s a rounding error dressed up as a trend. They’ve got pricing power, naturally. When you’re dealing with health, people tend to pay. Their oncology tests are up fifty-four percent. Cancer is a growth industry. Signatera, their blood test, is supposed to be the key. Personalized medicine. Sounds expensive.

Caesars and the Weight of Things

Progeny 3 has, in effect, removed itself from the game. The position now represents a negligible fraction of their reported assets. One imagines the portfolio managers, not celebrating, but simply…adjusting. The world continues, indifferent to their calculations.

Bitcoin’s Wild Ride: Deleveraging Drama Unfolds in the Crypto Circus!

In a fresh tale from the CryptoQuant frontier, our trusty trader CryptoOnchain reported a great washing away of the Bitcoin derivatives market over yonder at Binance, the grandest crypto exchange this side of the Mississippi. The magic words here are the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR), which has seen a drop faster than a hot potato in recent weeks.