Gemini’s Descent

Gemini Space Station, ticker GEMI, lost about 14% of its value today. It’s always something, isn’t it? They report earnings tomorrow. Investors, naturally, prefer good news. But a big financial outfit, Citi, decided to downgrade the stock. So it goes.

Citi’s Assessment

The analyst at Citi moved the stock to “sell” and lowered the price target to $5.50. Still a number, I suppose. The reasoning? Profitability. A concept people still cling to, despite all evidence to the contrary. It’s a tough climate for making money, unless you’re already rich, of course.

The price of Bitcoin and Ethereum is down this year. A tragedy, really. Lower prices mean less trading. Less trading means less revenue for Gemini. It’s a circle, see? A perfectly predictable circle. And lower prices also hurt the fees they collect for holding other people’s digital trinkets. A sad state of affairs.

They are doing okay with credit card revenue. A small victory in a sea of disappointment. Investors are hoping for good numbers on that front tomorrow. Hope. A dangerous thing.

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What Next?

Gemini faces challenges. They always do. This sell-off might be an overreaction. Management has already given a preview of the results, so there shouldn’t be any big surprises. Which is surprising, when you think about it. A quarter or two of crypto prices going up – if that’s even possible – and continued growth in credit card revenue could keep the stock afloat. For a while, anyway.

The universe doesn’t care about stock prices, you know. Or about Gemini. Or about any of us. So it goes.

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2026-03-18 22:22