Bargains & Bubbles: A 2026 Prospectus

Amazon. A name that echoes through the digital forests. Most consider it a titan, a behemoth. And that’s precisely why they miss the bargain. It’s become so…expectedly successful that people forget to actually look at the numbers. In 2025, it didn’t exactly set the world alight, did it? A mere 5% rise. But beneath the surface, things were stirring. Several operating segments were showing genuine muscle. It’s a bit like a slumbering dragon – looks peaceful enough, but you wouldn’t want to poke it with a stick.

Alibaba: A Patch of Green in the Grey

There are whispers of hope, naturally. Glimmers, like fireflies in the evening mist. And so, if one is compelled to consider an investment in this vast, complex entity, let us examine the currents that might, just might, carry it forward. Though, to believe in certainty is the first step toward delusion.

The Consumer Stock Requiem

Berkshire Hathaway’s fondness for Coca-Cola stretches back decades – a testament to consistency, if nothing else. Though, I’ve known portfolios with more exciting histories. The thing about long-term holdings is, they witness everything. The booms, the busts, the rise of avocado toast. They become…weary. Costco and Walmart flitted in and out of the Berkshire orbit, transient visitors. Perhaps a wise precaution. One doesn’t want to become too familiar with the habits of the masses.

Nebius Group: Prospects for 2026

One cannot help but observe that Nebius has, in a manner of speaking, rather outdone itself. A tripling of the share price in a single year is a circumstance which, while undeniably pleasing, does raise the question of sustainability. The company, it must be confessed, is currently valued at a premium, a fact which, whilst not alarming, does require a discerning eye.

S&P 500: A Three-Year Binge?

I mean, the long-run average is around 10%, isn’t it? Which feels… sensible. This, however, is not sensible. 2025 was the worst year in the last three, at only 16%. The sheer audacity. 2024 and 2023 were both over 20%. It’s like the market decided to have a mid-life crisis and buy a sports car. I keep telling myself it’s just a temporary blip, but then I remember history. And history, as I’ve learned, is rarely kind to optimists.

Buffett’s Echo: A Portfolio of Pleasant Illusions

Delivery Driver

One finds, then, a pair of companies frequently touted as inheritors of the Buffettian spirit. Amazon and American Express. Both, undeniably, successful. Though success, as any seasoned observer knows, is often merely the prolonged postponement of failure, elegantly disguised. Let us dissect these specimens, shall we?

Lumentum: A Signal in the Static

The anticipation now centers on the fourth-quarter pronouncements from Palantir, a reckoning that must justify the staggering multiple – 416 times trailing earnings, 117 times sales. A precarious edifice, indeed. But while the gaze of the multitude remains fixed upon this particular beacon, a quieter signal emerges from another quarter – Lumentum Holdings. A company, perhaps less glamorous, but possessing a solidity that warrants closer inspection.

Intel: Assessing Sustained Momentum in 2026

Recent commentary from governmental sources, coupled with a meeting between Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan and President Trump, appears to have temporarily catalyzed market sentiment. While such interactions can provide short-term boosts, a sustainable trajectory requires substantiation through fundamental performance metrics.

DigitalOcean: A Cloud in Troubled Skies

The company has, with some haste, begun to offer artificial intelligence tools. This is not innovation, precisely, but adaptation. The current fervor surrounding AI presents an obvious opportunity, and DigitalOcean is attempting to position itself as a provider of affordable access for smaller businesses. The claim is that demand is “through the roof,” and revenue has indeed doubled in the last five quarters. Such figures, however, must be viewed with a degree of skepticism. The entire sector is inflated, and a doubling of revenue from a small base is hardly conclusive proof of long-term viability.

Lucid: A Very Expensive Waiting Game

They make a decent electric vehicle, I’ll grant you that. But “decent” doesn’t pay the bills, does it? And that’s the whole thing. They’re years from profitability, and in the meantime, they’re relying on someone else to keep the lights on. It’s like being perpetually stuck behind someone going 5 under in the fast lane.