Costco: Will It Really Hit $1,500?

Right. Costco. It’s been doing rather well, hasn’t it? Another quarterly report, all very solid. Honestly, it’s almost irritatingly consistent. Like that friend who always manages to look put-together, even after a transatlantic flight. Meanwhile, I’m over here, still trying to master the art of not losing money on meme stocks. But, yes, Costco. Up, up, up. Currently hovering around the $1,000 mark. Which leads to the inevitable question: $1,500? Is it realistic? Or am I just being greedy?

Units of Cryptocurrency Lost: 12. Hours Spent Watching Charts: 9. Number of Panicked Texts to Friends: 24. It’s a vicious cycle, honestly. But back to Costco. Because at least it seems to have a plan.

The State of Things

It’s all about that steady growth, isn’t it? Over the last five years, the stock has soared – over 210%, which is…impressive. Far more impressive than my attempts at sourdough baking, I can tell you that. It’s completely eclipsed the S&P 500, which is, frankly, a bit embarrassing for the S&P 500. The company’s financial performance is, predictably, the engine driving this. Revenue in Q2 was nearly $70 billion – a 9.2% jump. And the first half of the fiscal year saw an 8.8% increase. It’s all very…competent.

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They earned just over $2 billion in Q2, a 14% increase. Revenue growth outpacing costs – a concept I’m desperately trying to apply to my grocery bills. Analysts are forecasting 8.4% revenue growth for the current fiscal year. It’s all very…stable. Which, in this market, feels almost revolutionary.

However (and there’s always a ‘however,’ isn’t there?), the success is starting to feel…priced in. Costco’s P/E ratio is around 54. Which, let’s be honest, is a bit steep. It’s more expensive than Walmart’s Sam’s Club, BJ’s Wholesale, and even Amazon. Which feels…excessive. I mean, it’s good, but is it that good? Profit growth is only just in the double digits. Investors might struggle to justify such a high multiple. I certainly am.

Still, there are no obvious threats looming. Costco seems to have avoided the international pitfalls that tripped up Walmart. And with 634 of its 924 warehouses in the U.S., there’s still plenty of room for growth here. Apparently, there are mid-sized cities that don’t have a Costco. Who knew? And even more surprisingly, some large metros lack a Costco Business Center. The potential is…intriguing.

So, $1,500?

Look, I think Costco is a long-term buy. It should eventually reach $1,500 per share. But it won’t happen overnight. It’s going to take years. Years of disciplined investing. Which, let’s be real, is a challenge for someone who regularly panics and sells at the first sign of a dip.

Ultimately, the consistent growth and expansion potential are there. But that high valuation could slow things down. It’s not necessarily that Costco isn’t good. It’s just that it might not be growing fast enough to justify that P/E ratio. Which means investors might start looking at other, more reasonably priced retail stocks. I might be one of them.

Still, if you hold on to Costco stock for long enough, $1,500 per share is probably within reach. Just…don’t expect it to happen tomorrow. And definitely don’t ask me for investment advice. I’m still trying to figure out how to balance my checkbook.

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2026-03-11 11:22