The Long Game: Emerging Markets & the Shifting Tides

But the winds, as they often do, have begun to shift. Last year, for the first time since the Age of Steam-Powered Calculating Machines (2020, to be precise), Emerging Markets dared to outperform the venerable S&P 500.1 The U.S. market, whilst still reasonably prosperous, showed signs of… well, looking around for other options. A subtle hint, perhaps, that the game was afoot. And 2026? It’s confirmed what the ancient scrolls (and a surprisingly accurate pigeon) have been predicting: international stocks are still leading the charge, and a broader rotation is underway. This is significant because history, that most unreliable of storytellers, suggests these cycles aren’t mere flutters of the market, but rather long, slow shifts in the very foundations of fortune.







