Large Ethereum investors, often called ‘whales,’ are actively buying ETH again. They’ve recently pulled out over $12.5 million worth of ETH and are reinvesting it into positions that amplify potential gains, suggesting a bullish outlook.
As an analyst, I’ve been tracking some interesting on-chain activity. Lookonchain data revealed a significant ETH holder – what we call a whale – recently moved 6,114 ETH, valued at $12.52 million, from the OKX exchange and deposited it into Aave. My interpretation is this isn’t a sign of someone looking to sell, but rather a strategic repositioning of funds – a deliberate rotation of capital, not an indication of selling pressure.
As I continued my research, I noticed something interesting: two previously inactive Ethereum addresses suddenly became active after about three months. They spent a significant amount – $10.93 million – to purchase 5,350 ETH, averaging around $2,043 per coin. This coordinated activity suggests that major players in the market share a strong belief in Ethereum’s potential.
Machi added another $250,000 USDC to HyperLiquid and then increased his bet that the price of Ethereum would rise, using 25x leverage.
His financial performance over the last six months has changed dramatically, moving from a $44.8 million profit to a $29.23 million loss. This suggests he’s taking on considerable risk, even after experiencing previous losses.
Can Ethereum escape its descending channel?
Ethereum’s price has been moving within a clear downward trend on the daily chart. It recently hit a low around $1,800 and then bounced back up significantly.
Buyers strongly defended a key support area. Despite this, the price continues to face resistance around $2,200–$2,300, limiting further gains.
Currently, the price is facing immediate resistance around $2,261, and a larger obstacle around $2,797. The recent recovery from $1,800 has only partially offset the significant drop seen in February.
For the price to truly start rising, it needs to convincingly break above $2,261. Until then, the current downward trend will likely continue to dictate price movements.

Recent momentum indicators suggest a slow but steady recovery, rather than rapid growth. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 44.74, and its signal line is around 37.95.
The current market stance is a step up from the heavily oversold levels seen in early February. Still, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hasn’t broken above 50, meaning a strong upward trend isn’t yet confirmed.
While buyers are showing increasing strength in the short term, they haven’t completely taken over. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hasn’t reached a level that suggests a price drop is imminent.
The market appears likely to continue rising above $2,000. If the Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbs above 50 and stays there, we could see a significant increase in buying pressure.
Open interest expands as leverage builds
More traders are taking positions in derivative markets, and we’re seeing increased activity from large investors. Open interest has increased by 6.39% to $25.82 billion, which suggests new money is flowing into futures trading.
When there’s a lot of new activity in the market, but the price isn’t changing much, traders often expect a clear price trend to start soon. However, this increased activity also means there’s a higher risk of forced selling if the price moves against traders’ positions.
If the price doesn’t break through the upper boundary of the current trading range, many traders who bet on a price increase might be forced to sell, causing a quick drop. However, if the price stays above $2,261, traders betting on a price decrease could be forced to buy back, potentially leading to a rapid price increase.
Increasing Open Interest creates a situation with both potential benefits and risks. The next significant market move will likely reveal whether this leverage helps to increase profits or worsen losses.

Why top traders maintain a long bias
Data indicates that Binance‘s most active traders are currently more bullish than bearish, with a 1.72 to 1 ratio of long positions (bets that the price will go up) to short positions (bets that the price will go down). Specifically, 63.17% of these traders hold long positions, while 36.83% hold short positions.
This skew reflects persistent bullish exposure among experienced participants.
Even with all the price swings lately, I’m still seeing a lot of investors betting on prices going up. It seems like the big players – the ‘whales’ – are buying, and more and more people are opening positions, which is a pretty bullish sign.
If a market stubbornly resists change for a long time, it can actually create a weakness. Also, when many traders pile into the same investment, it often leads to a buildup of available funds that can be quickly withdrawn.
If Ethereum firmly breaks above $2,261, it could see further price increases as more traders bet on it rising. However, if the price falls back to $1,800, traders using borrowed funds to amplify their bets could be forced to quickly close their positions, potentially causing a sharp price drop.

Currently, Ethereum’s price recovery is being driven by large investors buying up assets and increased borrowing. However, this recovery is still happening within a larger, established downward trend.
If buyers can push the price above $2,261, it could lead to a faster increase in price. Until that happens, the current high risk-taking with borrowed money could make price swings even more dramatic, either up or down.
Final Summary
- Whales withdrew over $12.5M in ETH from OKX and redeployed capital into Aave, signaling accumulation.
- Two dormant wallets reactivated and bought 5,350 ETH worth $10.93M near $2,043.
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2026-03-04 05:12