Prudence in a Gilded Age

To surpass a Shiller P/E of 30, one discovers, is to flirt with disaster. Historical precedent, a tiresome but reliable companion, reveals that such heights have invariably been followed by corrections – declines ranging from a mere 20% to a rather dramatic 89%. One might observe that the market possesses a peculiar fondness for self-inflicted wounds. Still, to declare oneself entirely bereft of opportunity amidst such extravagance would be a display of poor taste. Bargains, like rare orchids, merely require a more discerning eye to unearth.







