Market Sentiment and Prudent Valuation

Indeed, a circumstance has arisen which demands the attention of any prudent investor: the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio – a metric known, rather grandly, as the Shiller P/E – has ascended to a level rarely witnessed. It has exceeded forty for only the second time since 1871, a fact which, whilst not necessarily indicative of immediate distress, suggests a degree of exuberance that warrants careful consideration.







