Bitcoin Bottoming Out? Coinbase Premium Discount Suggests BTC Could See ‘Splendid’ 6-12 Month Returns

As a seasoned crypto investor with a keen eye on market trends, I find Lawant’s analysis intriguing. The historical significance of the Coinbase premium indicator and its correlation with past Bitcoin price rallies is compelling. When I see such deep discounts in the premium, it often signals weak buying pressure from American investors, which has historically coincided with Bitcoin price bottoms.


As a crypto investor, I’ve been closely monitoring the market trends, and I’m excited about the potential price surge of Bitcoin. According to the insights shared by David Lawant, the head of research at FalconX, there are strong indications that Bitcoin could experience a significant upward price swing soon. Based on the current discount on the Coinbase Bitcoin premium, which is a measure of the difference between the Bitcoin’s market price and its price on the Coinbase exchange, and considering its historical significance, this trend is worth paying attention to.

As a crypto investor keeping an eye on the market trends, I’ve come across a post on microblogging platform X (previously known as Twitter) by Lawant. He mentioned that the last time the Bitcoin premium on Coinbase was as low as it is now was back in October 2023. At that time, Bitcoin was trading around $27,000, before experiencing a bull run and reaching new all-time highs above $73,500.

As a crypto investor, I’ve been keeping an eye on Lawant’s analysis, and I can tell you that he highlighted the historical significance of this particular indicator. With Bitcoin’s correction from over $73,000 to around $60,000 at present, Lawant suggests that we might see an uptick in this metric once again.

It’s been reported that the Coinbase spread, which has recently turned negative, last occurred in a similar fashion about two months prior to the significant cryptocurrency market surge from October 2023 to March 2024.

— David Lawant (@dlawant) July 1, 2024

Based on CryptoQuant’s analysis, the Coinbase premium index signifies the difference in Bitcoin’s price between trades on Coinbase’s BTC/USD market and Binance‘s BTC/USDT market. A positive premium indicates an uptick in buying demand on Coinbase.

A significantly reduced price for premium goods indicates that American investors have been hesitant to buy Bitcoin at this price level, a pattern that has historically marked the bottom of its market value.

Lawant looks forward to a revival of American investor enthusiasm towards Bitcoin in the upcoming months, which could lead to fresh record highs for the cryptocurrency. In a previous post, Lawant expressed confidence that the “next 6-12 months will bring great rewards – and undoubtedly some volatility.”

Coinbase’s high-tier market indicator has grown progressively pessimistic, even as significant Bitcoin investors have been quietly amassing the primary cryptocurrency during its price bounce back from a recent slump that reached nearly $58,000.

As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed some intriguing insights from IntoTheBlock’s latest data analysis. Specifically, holders with a significant stake in Bitcoin (around 0.1% of the total supply) have been quite active recently. In fact, they added approximately 7,130 BTC, which amounts to around $436 million, to their wallets within just one day during this price dip. This could be a bullish sign as large-scale investors often buy the dip and hold for the long term.

The “Large Holders Netflow” metric signifies the overall purchase and sale trends among significant Bitcoin investors, as recorded by the movement of Bitcoin in and out of their respective wallets. According to IntoTheBlock’s criteria, large Bitcoin holders are defined as those possessing a minimum of 0.1% of the total Bitcoin supply. This equates to approximately 19,700 BTC or roughly $1.2 billion worth of Bitcoin.

Large investors have recently poured significant amounts of money into buying Bitcoin, marking the largest net inflows since late May. This could be indicative that these Bitcoin whales believe current prices offer a good bargain and are seizing the opportunity to increase their holdings, possibly disregarding broader market anxieties.

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2024-07-04 07:17