BitMEX Co-Founder Arthur Hayes Predicts Little-Known Altcoin Will Overtake Solana ($SOL)

As an analyst with a background in blockchain technology and market trends, I find Arthur Hayes’ prediction about Aptos ($APT) surpassing Solana ($SOL) as the second-most prominent Layer 1 (L1) blockchain intriguing. While Hayes did not provide extensive details during his interview with Raoul Pal, his reputation for market insights warrants careful consideration of this potential shift in the cryptocurrency landscape.


Arthur Hayes, one of the co-founders of BitMEX, a well-known cryptocurrency derivatives trading platform, has stirred up excitement in the crypto community with his forecast that Aptos ($APT) will surpass Solana ($SOL) as the second-largest Layer 1 (L1) blockchain by market capitalization within the next two to three years. This would leave Ethereum as the undisputed leader of the pack.

During a recent conversation with macro analyst Raoul Pal on the Coin Bureau YouTube channel, Hayes shared some intriguing perspectives about the market. Although he didn’t provide much evidence to support his prediction, he promised to delve deeper into the topic in September.

In the year 2020, Solana gained significant popularity as it tackled Ethereum’s challenges in terms of scalability, transaction speed, and cost. Notably, Circle’s decision to bring their USDC stablecoin onto the Solana platform, following closely on the heels of Tether’s USDT addition, fueled this surge.

The value of the cryptocurrency dropped dramatically due to the unexpected collapse of FTX, a significant backer and investor in the Solana ecosystem, with substantial holdings in various tokens on the network including SOL itself. Consequently, Solana experienced a ripple effect from this event, but the network has since been making a gradual recovery.

As a crypto investor, I’ve witnessed Solana’s meteoric rise to prominence firsthand. The launch of memecoins like BONK in December 2022 and dogwifhat (WIF) in November 2023 only served to accelerate this trend. The adoption of the Solana ecosystem has been on the upswing, with the Saga smartphone – which had previously struggled with sales – selling out recently due to a highly attractive 30 million BONK token airdrop for each new owner. From my perspective, these developments bode well for the future growth potential of Solana and its related projects.

JPMorgan Chase, a prominent player on Wall Street, has raised doubts about the SEC’s potential approval of a Solana spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) or an ETF that provides exposure to alternative coins like Solana.

In contrast to Solana, which has experienced several interruptions, Aptos boasts an uninterrupted operational history since its debut. This reliability makes it an attractive option in the ever-evolving digital currency marketplace. The bedrock of Aptos is “Move,” a cutting-edge smart contract programming language developed by ex-Meta Platforms’ Diem project engineers.

Despite Diem’s eventual abandonment, the knowledge and technological innovations behind it have been redirected towards Aptos. This shift raises expectations for its commercial success and broad acceptance. Nevertheless, Aptos presently lacks a well-established DeFi infrastructure and the viral social media buzz that propelled Solana’s growth.

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2024-06-18 01:52