So, Rivian. This company. Everyone was losing their minds over it, right? IPO, big numbers. Now? It’s down, what, 92%? Ninety-two percent! It’s like they gave everyone a free pass to the top, then yanked the ladder away. And people just… accepted it? It’s infuriating. It’s a basic principle of investing, isn’t it? Don’t throw money at something just because everyone else is? Apparently not. And now they expect me to believe this could “set you up for life?” Please.
The problem isn’t just the stock price. It’s the whole premise. This idea that you can just manufacture a truck—a truck, mind you—and suddenly you’re disrupting the automotive industry. It’s arrogant. And frankly, it’s a little insulting to the people who’ve been building cars for, oh, a century. They thought they could just waltz in and change everything? It’s just… presumptuous.
Putting Things in Perspective (Because Apparently No One Else Will)
Look, the market was completely irrational back then. Zero interest rates. Everyone was throwing money at anything with a “tech” label. It was like a giant, collective delusion. And Rivian benefited from it. Of course. But now reality is setting in. And it’s not pretty. It’s like they built this elaborate sandcastle, and the tide is coming in. And everyone’s acting surprised? It’s just… predictable.
The EV market isn’t exactly booming like everyone thought it would. Subsidies are drying up. And now you’ve got Chinese manufacturers coming in with vehicles that are, shall we say, competitively priced. It’s a classic case of supply and demand. And Rivian is on the wrong side of it. And the fact that they can’t seem to get production up to speed? It’s just… sloppy. They delivered less in 2025 than 2024? Seriously? How does that even happen?
And the share dilution! They keep issuing new shares to fund operations. It’s like they’re just printing money. It’s a vicious cycle. And the shareholders are the ones who pay the price. It’s just… unfair. It’s like they’re saying, “Oh, we messed up, so you guys can give us more money.” It’s outrageous!
Could Rivian Actually…Work? (Don’t Hold Your Breath)
Okay, so they’re releasing this R2 platform. Lower-cost vehicles. Supposedly a “catalyst.” Right. They always say that. A “catalyst.” It’s a marketing buzzword. It means “we’re hoping you’ll forget about all our problems.” Sales increased 78%? Great. They still lost over a billion dollars. And they have seven billion in cash? That’ll last, what, a quarter? It’s like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.
Gross margins are barely breaking even. And they think this R2 is going to magically fix everything? I doubt it. Lower-cost usually means lower margins. It’s basic economics. They’re burning through cash at an alarming rate. And they’ll keep issuing shares. It’s a self-perpetuating cycle of disappointment. They’re selling a dream, and the reality is… well, it’s a lot of red ink.
So, could Rivian go on to be a big winner? Maybe. But betting on it to “set you up for life?” That’s just… irresponsible. It’s a gamble. And I, for one, don’t like my chances. I mean, honestly, the whole thing just feels…off. It’s like a poorly written screenplay. Full of potential, but ultimately… unsatisfying. And frankly, it’s exhausting. I need a nap.
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2026-02-07 01:32