So, Abivax (ABVX +0.26%). A French company. Biotech. Of course. They had a good year. A really good year. 1740%? Come on. It’s just… it’s a number designed to get people’s attention. Like putting sprinkles on something that’s fundamentally… questionable. Obefazimod. That’s the drug. Sounds like a cough syrup my grandmother used to take. And now, everyone’s predicting another 72% jump? It’s exhausting. The optimism. It’s just… unwarranted.
A Closer Look at Obefazimod
Ulcerative colitis. Right. Another crowded market. Everyone’s got a pill for something these days. And they all suppress your immune system. That’s the trick, isn’t it? Fix one thing, break three others. It’s like rearranging furniture to make more space, and then realizing you’ve blocked the doorway. Obefazimod supposedly doesn’t do that. It’s different. It’s…gentle. Of course, they say that. They have to. The phase 3 trial showed remission. Statistically significant. Wonderful. And nearly half the patients had already tried other things. So, they’re the ones the other drugs didn’t work on. That’s… convenient. It’s like saying your new vacuum cleaner works great on dirt that other vacuums couldn’t pick up. It doesn’t exactly inspire confidence. Blockbuster potential, they say. I just… I don’t buy it. It’s just a word. A marketing term.
Why Abivax’s Stock Might Soar (or Not)
8.74 billion euros. That’s what they’re valued at. And now Eli Lilly is supposedly circling, ready to drop 15 billion euros. A 72% premium. It’s just… brazen. Like showing up to a potluck with a single, incredibly expensive truffle. It’s a statement. And it’s annoying. Lilly’s dominating the weight loss market, so they need something else to play with. Immunology. Fine. But this feels… impulsive. Like they saw a shiny object and decided they had to have it. And of course, there’s always another pharmaceutical giant lurking, ready to swoop in. It’s like vultures circling a… well, you get the idea. It’s predictable. And frankly, a little depressing.
Is Abivax Stock a Buy? (Seriously?)
Should you invest? Look, obefazimod has potential. On paper. But clinical trials are… trials. Things go wrong. Regulators get involved. It’s a mess. And even if everything goes right, there’s no guarantee it’ll actually work for enough people to justify the price. If Lilly actually makes an offer, the stock will jump. That’s obvious. But what if they don’t? What if they decide it’s not worth the risk? The stock could plummet. And then what? You’re left holding the bag. It’s risky. Definitely risky. But, I mean, if you like volatility… if you enjoy the thrill of potentially losing a lot of money… then, sure. Go for it. I just… I don’t understand people who do that. It’s illogical. It’s just… a bad idea. A really bad idea.
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2026-01-19 23:52