Bitcoin in ’28: Halvings & Hopeful Politicians

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Okay, Bitcoin people. Let’s talk 2028. I know, I know, it feels like Y2K all over again, but trust me, as someone who’s seen a few market cycles (and has the gray hairs to prove it), it’s not crazy to start thinking ahead. There are two things brewing that could really shake things up. First, the next Bitcoin halving. Second, and this is where it gets interesting, the potential for a second Trump administration. Honestly, it’s a combo that’s either going to be genius or a spectacular dumpster fire. Maybe both.

The Halving: It’s Like a Crypto Groundhog Day

So, the halving. For those of you who came to Bitcoin late, it’s this event that happens roughly every four years where the reward for mining new Bitcoins gets cut in half. It’s basically a supply shock, designed to make everyone feel like there’s less to go around. Which, let’s be real, is a pretty effective marketing tactic. Historically, these halvings have been followed by price spikes. It’s like clockwork, which, in the crypto world, is frankly terrifying. We’ve had them in 2012, 2016, 2020, and just last year, 2024. The next one is slated for 2028, and the smart money (and by “smart,” I mean “people who are willing to gamble”) is expecting another run-up. The last halving saw Bitcoin jump from around $64,000 to over $100,000 by year-end, and eventually hit $126,000. So, yeah, the math is tempting.

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But here’s the catch. These rallies don’t last. It’s a classic boom-and-bust cycle. We’re about 21 months into the current run, and historically, that means a correction is probably looming. I’m not saying sell everything and invest in Beanie Babies, but let’s just say I wouldn’t be surprised to see some turbulence in the next year or two. It’s like a really expensive roller coaster. Fun while it lasts, but eventually, you have to get off.

Politics & Crypto: A Match Made in… Washington?

Now, let’s talk about the elephant in the room – or, in this case, the potential return of a certain former president. Look, I’m not endorsing anyone, but it’s no secret that a lot of crypto insiders are already bracing for a potential shift in policy. There’s talk of a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” that’s currently… well, let’s just say it’s a little light on actual Bitcoin. It consists of seized or confiscated coins. Thrilling. But there’s a whisper campaign that a second Trump administration might actually buy Bitcoin for the reserve, ideally before the midterms. The logic? Higher Bitcoin prices could boost pro-crypto candidates and, let’s be honest, fund some really nice renovations to the White House. It’s a fascinating, slightly terrifying, and undeniably cynical strategy. It’s like using Bitcoin as a political football.

So, What’s Bitcoin Worth in 2028?

Over the last few years, Bitcoin has seen a compound annual growth rate of 44%. That’s a pretty impressive number, but it’s been punctuated by some spectacular crashes. If it continues at that rate, and assuming a baseline price of $100,000 in 2026, we could be looking at $200,000 heading into 2028. Then, throw in the halving and potentially favorable political winds, and… well, things could get interesting. It’s a lot to hope for, of course. But if everything lines up, there’s a good chance Bitcoin investors will have something to celebrate. Or at least, have a really good story to tell. Just remember, past performance is not indicative of future results. Especially in crypto. It’s less of an investment and more of a highly-caffeinated gamble.

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2026-01-19 14:23