Bitcoin’s Midlife Crisis: Is the 4-Year Cycle Going Through a Breakup? 💔

Oh, Bitcoin, you’re growing up so fast! 🌱 But is your trusty 4-year cycle about to ghost you in 2026? Analysts are whispering (well, shouting into their X feeds) that your old patterns might be as outdated as flip phones. 📱✨

Apparently, you’re too cool for protocol events now. Institutional capital and global liquidity are your new BFFs. 😎 Will this mature glow-up redefine your trajectory? Only time (and a lot of charts) will tell.

Bitcoin 2026: The Rebel Phase Against the 4-Year Cycle 🦹‍♂️

Bob Loukas, the wise old trader, recently dropped a hot take on X. He’s like, “Hey, this cycle’s different, okay? Don’t be so clingy to your expectations.” He’s giving Bitcoin room to breathe, maybe even stretch into Q1 or Q2 next year. “It’s not you, it’s the cycle,” he says. Classic breakup line. 💔

“This 4 yr cycle has been different to the priors, in many ways. And has a different class of participants. Therefore, we shouldn’t be too absolute in expectations. We need to give it room within the bounds of the cycle. As in, a move to a Q1 or even Q2. Well within the range of the cycle that affords room for the normal bear phase. 6-8 months would suffice,” Loukas wrote. 🧐

But wait! Some analysts are like, “Nope, it’s a 5-year cycle now!” Because apparently, Bitcoin’s halving events are so 2013. 🕺 For over a decade, they were the main character, but now they’re just a side plot. Who knew global liquidity could steal the show? 🎭

Remember those wild gains? 9,300% in 2013, 2,300% in 2017, and 260% in 2021? Followed by dramatic 80% corrections? Well, post-2024, Bitcoin’s only up 18%. 😴 It’s like it’s trading in its party hat for a briefcase. 🧑‍💼

One analyst spilled the tea: “Bitcoin’s gone from a 4-year to a 5-year cycle. Peak drama expected in Q2 2026. Blame the global economy-governments are stretching debt like yoga pants, and liquidity waves are moving slower than a Sunday morning.” 🧘‍♀️

“Bitcoin has shifted from a 4-year to a 5-year cycle, with the next peak expected around Q2 2026. This is due to a deeper structural shift in the global economy, governments are rolling over debt for longer periods, business cycles are stretching out, and liquidity waves now moving through the system more slowly,” the post read. 📉📈

And then there’s Master of Crypto, who’s like, “Halvings? Cute. But now that Bitcoin’s a $2.5 trillion big boy, it’s all about global liquidity. When the money supply expands, Bitcoin’s like, ‘Yes, please!’ When it tightens, it’s ‘Catch you later!’” 💸

He’s betting on a bullish 2025-2026 because Japan, China, and the U.S. are all throwing money around like confetti. 🎉 “Bitcoin’s not just a retail fling anymore,” he says. “It’s a long-term relationship with institutions.” 💍

“That’s why 2025-2026 still look bullish. Global liquidity is rising once more. Japan, China, and the U.S. are all adding money in their own ways. Bitcoin will soak up a big part of those inflows. BTC in 2025 isn’t the same as BTC in 2013. It’s no longer just a retail-driven cycle play,” the analyst claimed. 🚀

So, here’s the hot gossip: Bitcoin’s market behavior is evolving. Halvings? Still a psychological flex, but their price impact is fading faster than a TikTok trend. Now, it’s all about global liquidity, institutional cuddles, and macroeconomic drama. 🌍💼

As capital cycles stretch and liquidity waves move slower than a sloth on a Sunday, Bitcoin’s next peak (mid-2026, they say) might just prove that the 4-year cycle is so yesterday. 📆✨

Read More

2025-10-29 14:17