The Market’s Sigh: A Long View

There’s a tool, often overlooked, called the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings ratio, or CAPE. It’s a bit like consulting an ancient oracle instead of relying on a hastily scribbled note. It looks back a decade, smoothing out the bumps and the blips. It’s not perfect, of course. No oracle ever is. They tend to speak in riddles and demand sacrifices, but at least they offer a broader perspective than simply asking a stockbroker what he had for breakfast.







