Analyst Willy Woo Claims Crypto’s Next Descent Stemmed From Global Recession, Not Halving or Money Supply – Spoiler: It’s All Very Dramatic.
Ah, mes amis! The next crypto bear market may arise not from Bitcoin’s halving or central banks’ whims, but from a grand, tragicomic spectacle: a global recession! Imagine, if you will, the stage set for a farce of economic proportions!
According to our esteemed analyst, Willy Woo, the industry must prepare for a business cycle recession-yes, the kind that shook the world in 2001 and 2008, when even gold wept and tech stocks performed a tragic pirouette.
Woo claims past bear markets danced to the rhythm of Bitcoin’s four-year halving and M2 money supply. But now, he warns, the plot thickens: a full-blown economic slowdown could crash the crypto party like a poorly timed punchline!
Business Cycle Recessions: The Original Crypto Baddies
The last time business cycles took center stage was before Bitcoin even existed-a time of gas lamps and unironic optimism. Now, dear readers, we face a new era of chaos!
“If we witness a business cycle downturn akin to 2001 or 2008,” declared Woo, “BTC shall be tested like a tragic hero in a Molière play: Will it fall like tech stocks or rise like gold? Only the gods know!”
We had two 4y cycles superimposed 🎭
Now it’s only one; global M2 liquidity 💸
Next bear IMO will be defined by another cycle people forget about → the business cycle 🌀
The last biz cycle downturns that really took hold was 2008 and 2001, from before crypto markets were invented 😅
– Willy Woo (@woonomic)
A business cycle recession, as any economist will tell you (or mock you for asking), occurs when the economy slows, GDP plummets, unemployment rises, and liquidity dries up faster than a forgotten punchline. It’s the financial equivalent of a Shakespearean tragedy-except with more spreadsheets.
Woo, ever the dramatist, insists crypto cannot escape these grand narratives. When money tightens, traders flee, liquidity vanishes, and crypto… well, let’s just say it’s not holding its breath for mercy.
The dot-com bubble of 2001? A mere dress rehearsal. The US stock market fell 50%, unemployment climbed, and investors fled risky assets like they were cursed. The 2008 crisis? A full-blown opera of despair, with the S&P 500 plunging 56% and Bitcoin nowhere to be found (yet).
Woo muses: if such a downturn strikes now, perhaps we’ll finally witness crypto’s true mettle-or its grand folly.
Economic Outlook: A Tale of Two Indicators
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), that most serious of jesters, tracks four indicators: employment, income, production, and retail sales. So far, none scream “recession!”-but the stage is set for a surprise encore.
In 2020, a brief economic dip occurred during pandemic lockdowns, a fleeting intermission. Now, growth teeters like a tightrope walker in a hurricane. Trade tariffs, those pesky villains, have already slowed US growth this year, and economists predict they’ll drag GDP into next year like a lead balloon.
Woo, with a wink, notes Bitcoin’s role as a “forward-looking indicator.”
“Markets are speculative,” he said, “either BTC is whispering, ‘The top is near,’ or it’s about to sprint ahead like a caffeinated squirrel. Only time shall judge!”
The Bear Market: A New Kind of Farce
Crypto investors, accustomed to halving-driven cycles, may find themselves unprepared for this new antagonist: the business cycle. Instead of crypto’s internal supply mechanics, the bear market’s fate hinges on liquidity and sentiment-a farce of macroeconomic proportions!
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2025-10-21 22:02